Trader consensus favors Ilia Topuria at 54% implied probability to claim UFC pound-for-pound #1 status in 2026, propelled by his stunning first-round knockout of Max Holloway at UFC 308 on October 26, vaulting him to #2 in official rankings amid calls for a lightweight leap to challenge Islam Makhachev. The Islam/None in 2026 outcome trades at 45%, reflecting Makhachev's dominant streak as current #1 lightweight champion and his upcoming title defense against Dricus du Plessis at UFC 311 on January 18. Arman Tsarukyan (28.6%) gains traction from recent lightweight wins over elite contenders like Gamrot, positioning him for a potential shot, while Khamzat Chimaev (15.9%) impressed with a submission of Robert Whittaker but faces durability questions. Lower options trail amid multi-division paths and injury uncertainties shaping the crowded field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourIlia Topuria 54%
Islam/Aucun en 2026 42%
Khamzat Chimaev 17.4%
Alex Pereira 2.7%
Ilia Topuria
54%
Khamzat Chimaev
17%
Alex Pereira
3%
Alexander Volkanovski
3%
Petr Yan
1%
Merab Dvalishvili
1%
Tom Aspinall
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Max Holloway
10%
Dricus Du Plessis
<1%
Joshua Van
<1%
Magomed Ankalaev
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
<1%
Arman Tsarukyan
13%
Islam/Aucun en 2026
42%
Ilia Topuria 54%
Islam/Aucun en 2026 42%
Khamzat Chimaev 17.4%
Alex Pereira 2.7%
Ilia Topuria
54%
Khamzat Chimaev
17%
Alex Pereira
3%
Alexander Volkanovski
3%
Petr Yan
1%
Merab Dvalishvili
1%
Tom Aspinall
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Max Holloway
10%
Dricus Du Plessis
<1%
Joshua Van
<1%
Magomed Ankalaev
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
<1%
Arman Tsarukyan
13%
Islam/Aucun en 2026
42%
If Islam Makhachev remains #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the Pound-For-Pound rankings within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Islam/No Next #1 in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Marché ouvert : Jan 5, 2026, 3:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If Islam Makhachev remains #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the Pound-For-Pound rankings within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Islam/No Next #1 in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Ilia Topuria at 54% implied probability to claim UFC pound-for-pound #1 status in 2026, propelled by his stunning first-round knockout of Max Holloway at UFC 308 on October 26, vaulting him to #2 in official rankings amid calls for a lightweight leap to challenge Islam Makhachev. The Islam/None in 2026 outcome trades at 45%, reflecting Makhachev's dominant streak as current #1 lightweight champion and his upcoming title defense against Dricus du Plessis at UFC 311 on January 18. Arman Tsarukyan (28.6%) gains traction from recent lightweight wins over elite contenders like Gamrot, positioning him for a potential shot, while Khamzat Chimaev (15.9%) impressed with a submission of Robert Whittaker but faces durability questions. Lower options trail amid multi-division paths and injury uncertainties shaping the crowded field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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