Ilia Topuria commands 61% trader consensus as the reigning UFC lightweight champion after moving up from featherweight, KO'ing Charles Oliveira last June, and holding the belt through a personal hiatus into early 2026. His title reign faces a key test in the June 14 UFC White House unification main event against two-time interim champ Justin Gaethje (12.6%), who recently dominated Paddy Pimblett to reclaim the strap. Arman Tsarukyan (23.5%) surges on Khabib Nurmagomedov's mid-March praise as the division's top wrestler—unmatched by Topuria's prior striker-heavy resume—plus title shot talks for late 2026. Oliveira (13.7%) lingers as a submission threat despite the loss, reflecting the crowded contender field and stylistic risks ahead.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourIlia Topuria 63%
Arman Tsarukyan 26%
Justin Gaethje 17.8%
Charles Oliveira 13.6%
$15,513 Vol.
$15,513 Vol.
Ilia Topuria
63%
Arman Tsarukyan
23%
Charles Oliveira
14%
Max Holloway
4%
Justin Gaethje
13%
Paddy Pimblett
1%
Dan Hooker
1%
Mateusz Gamrot
<1%
Benoît Saint Denis
1%
Rafael Fiziev
1%
Renato Moicano
<1%
Ilia Topuria 63%
Arman Tsarukyan 26%
Justin Gaethje 17.8%
Charles Oliveira 13.6%
$15,513 Vol.
$15,513 Vol.
Ilia Topuria
63%
Arman Tsarukyan
23%
Charles Oliveira
14%
Max Holloway
4%
Justin Gaethje
13%
Paddy Pimblett
1%
Dan Hooker
1%
Mateusz Gamrot
<1%
Benoît Saint Denis
1%
Rafael Fiziev
1%
Renato Moicano
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ilia Topuria commands 61% trader consensus as the reigning UFC lightweight champion after moving up from featherweight, KO'ing Charles Oliveira last June, and holding the belt through a personal hiatus into early 2026. His title reign faces a key test in the June 14 UFC White House unification main event against two-time interim champ Justin Gaethje (12.6%), who recently dominated Paddy Pimblett to reclaim the strap. Arman Tsarukyan (23.5%) surges on Khabib Nurmagomedov's mid-March praise as the division's top wrestler—unmatched by Topuria's prior striker-heavy resume—plus title shot talks for late 2026. Oliveira (13.7%) lingers as a submission threat despite the loss, reflecting the crowded contender field and stylistic risks ahead.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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