Islam Makhachev holds the trader consensus at 51.5% implied probability as the reigning UFC welterweight champion and pound-for-pound #1, bolstered by his unanimous decision victory over Jack Della Maddalena in a title fight last November, extending his streak to 17 UFC wins with finishes over four former champions. Ilia Topuria sits at 30.5% after capturing the lightweight strap with knockouts over Max Holloway, Charles Oliveira, and Alexander Volkanovski, though his first-quarter 2026 hiatus for personal matters has traders tempering expectations ahead of a potential April return versus Justin Gaethje. Alexandre Pantoja's 29.6% reflects his prior flyweight dominance but recent title loss via injury TKO to Joshua Van in December, while Khamzat Chimaev's unbeaten run and #3 P4P ranking fuel 26.7% support amid middleweight title contention. Volkanovski's veteran pedigree keeps him viable at 25.4% despite setbacks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourIslam Makhachev 52%
Alexander Volkanovski 47.0%
Ilia Topuria 30%
Merab Dvalishvili 2.3%
Islam Makhachev
52%
Alexander Volkanovski
25%
Ilia Topuria
30%
Merab Dvalishvili
2%
Max Holloway
1%
Tom Aspinall
1%
Dricus Du Plessis
1%
Joshua Van
1%
Alex Pereira
7%
Petr Yan
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
19%
Arman Tsarukyan
9%
Magomed Ankalaev
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
16%
Khamzat Chimaev
27%
Islam Makhachev 52%
Alexander Volkanovski 47.0%
Ilia Topuria 30%
Merab Dvalishvili 2.3%
Islam Makhachev
52%
Alexander Volkanovski
25%
Ilia Topuria
30%
Merab Dvalishvili
2%
Max Holloway
1%
Tom Aspinall
1%
Dricus Du Plessis
1%
Joshua Van
1%
Alex Pereira
7%
Petr Yan
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
19%
Arman Tsarukyan
9%
Magomed Ankalaev
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
16%
Khamzat Chimaev
27%
If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 2:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Islam Makhachev holds the trader consensus at 51.5% implied probability as the reigning UFC welterweight champion and pound-for-pound #1, bolstered by his unanimous decision victory over Jack Della Maddalena in a title fight last November, extending his streak to 17 UFC wins with finishes over four former champions. Ilia Topuria sits at 30.5% after capturing the lightweight strap with knockouts over Max Holloway, Charles Oliveira, and Alexander Volkanovski, though his first-quarter 2026 hiatus for personal matters has traders tempering expectations ahead of a potential April return versus Justin Gaethje. Alexandre Pantoja's 29.6% reflects his prior flyweight dominance but recent title loss via injury TKO to Joshua Van in December, while Khamzat Chimaev's unbeaten run and #3 P4P ranking fuel 26.7% support amid middleweight title contention. Volkanovski's veteran pedigree keeps him viable at 25.4% despite setbacks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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