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Économie·Logement

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?

Market icon
Économie·Logement

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?

1.154 - 1.172m 48%

<1.154m 45%

1.172 - 1.19m 45%

1.19 - 1.208m 45%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

1.154 - 1.172m 48%

<1.154m 45%

1.172 - 1.19m 45%

1.19 - 1.208m 45%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<1.154m

$0 Vol.

45%

1.154 - 1.172m

$0 Vol.

48%

1.172 - 1.19m

$0 Vol.

45%

1.19 - 1.208m

$0 Vol.

45%

1.208 - 1.226m

$0 Vol.

45%

1.226 - 1.244m

$0 Vol.

45%

1.244 - 1.262m

$0 Vol.

45%

>1.262m

$0 Vol.

45%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)Trader sentiment in the San Francisco metro median home value market reflects tight clustering of implied probabilities around $1.15-1.26 million, driven by February 2026 Zillow Home Value Index readings near $1.12 million amid a sharp sales surge—median single-family prices up 21% year-over-year to $1.94 million citywide—fueled by inventory contraction of over 37%. Low supply and rapid turnover (12-14 days on market) signal robust tech-fueled demand, yet emerging upticks in new listings and stubbornly high 30-year mortgage rates near 7% introduce caution, creating a closely contested outlook where swing factors like spring buying momentum and further inventory dynamics could tip the April 30 resolution. Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices in modest appreciation potential against national home value stagnation.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
Volume
$0
Date de fin
30 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)Trader sentiment in the San Francisco metro median home value market reflects tight clustering of implied probabilities around $1.15-1.26 million, driven by February 2026 Zillow Home Value Index readings near $1.12 million amid a sharp sales surge—median single-family prices up 21% year-over-year to $1.94 million citywide—fueled by inventory contraction of over 37%. Low supply and rapid turnover (12-14 days on market) signal robust tech-fueled demand, yet emerging upticks in new listings and stubbornly high 30-year mortgage rates near 7% introduce caution, creating a closely contested outlook where swing factors like spring buying momentum and further inventory dynamics could tip the April 30 resolution. Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices in modest appreciation potential against national home value stagnation.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
Volume
$0
Date de fin
30 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)

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Questions fréquentes

« What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 1.154 - 1.172m » à 48%, suivi de « <1.154m » à 45%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 48¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 48% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Mar 30, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30? », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30? » est « 1.154 - 1.172m » à 48%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 48% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « <1.154m » à 45%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.