Polymarket traders price a 55% implied probability for the Nasdaq 100 closing between 18,000 and 19,000 by end-March, capturing bullish sentiment from the index's surge past 18,200 on AI-fueled gains in Nvidia and Big Tech, up 8% YTD amid easing inflation. This market-implied odds reflect trader consensus wagering real capital on a soft landing, supported by February's robust payrolls and prior CPI beats. Pivotal catalysts ahead include March 12 CPI (forecast 3.1% YoY), potentially reinforcing Fed cut bets, and the March 20 FOMC, where dot plot revisions could signal three 2024 easings or spark volatility if hawkish. Historical March NDX gains average 1.2%, but election uncertainties add risk premium.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$59,958 Vol.
↓ 20400
3%
↓ 20250
2%
↓ 20100
3%
↓ 19875
3%
↓ 19 650
1%
↓ 19 350
3%
↓ 18975
2%
$59,958 Vol.
↓ 20400
3%
↓ 20250
2%
↓ 20100
3%
↓ 19875
3%
↓ 19 650
1%
↓ 19 350
3%
↓ 18975
2%
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX).
Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a 55% implied probability for the Nasdaq 100 closing between 18,000 and 19,000 by end-March, capturing bullish sentiment from the index's surge past 18,200 on AI-fueled gains in Nvidia and Big Tech, up 8% YTD amid easing inflation. This market-implied odds reflect trader consensus wagering real capital on a soft landing, supported by February's robust payrolls and prior CPI beats. Pivotal catalysts ahead include March 12 CPI (forecast 3.1% YoY), potentially reinforcing Fed cut bets, and the March 20 FOMC, where dot plot revisions could signal three 2024 easings or spark volatility if hawkish. Historical March NDX gains average 1.2%, but election uncertainties add risk premium.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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