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Les États-Unis saisissent un pétrolier lié à l'Iran d'ici le 7 mars ?

Market icon

Les États-Unis saisissent un pétrolier lié à l'Iran d'ici le 7 mars ?

Mar 7

Mar 7

Oui

4% chance
Polymarket

$81,905 Vol.

Oui

4% chance
Polymarket

$81,905 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize an Iran-linked oil tanker between market creation and March 7, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker” refers to the seizure of any oil ship which is described by a consensus of credible sources as Iranian, Iran-linked, or as directly and regularly involved in the transportation of Iranian oil. A tanker’s limited prior transportation of Iranian oil, without such a qualifying description, will not alone qualify.

U.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors.

Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port.
Volume
$81,905
Date de fin
Mar 7, 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 24, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize an Iran-linked oil tanker between market creation and March 7, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker” refers to the seizure of any oil ship which is described by a consensus of credible sources as Iranian, Iran-linked, or as directly and regularly involved in the transportation of Iranian oil. A tanker’s limited prior transportation of Iranian oil, without such a qualifying description, will not alone qualify. U.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors. Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize an Iran-linked oil tanker between market creation and March 7, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker” refers to the seizure of any oil ship which is described by a consensus of credible sources as Iranian, Iran-linked, or as directly and regularly involved in the transportation of Iranian oil. A tanker’s limited prior transportation of Iranian oil, without such a qualifying description, will not alone qualify.

U.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors.

Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port.
Volume
$81,905
Date de fin
Mar 7, 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 24, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize an Iran-linked oil tanker between market creation and March 7, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker” refers to the seizure of any oil ship which is described by a consensus of credible sources as Iranian, Iran-linked, or as directly and regularly involved in the transportation of Iranian oil. A tanker’s limited prior transportation of Iranian oil, without such a qualifying description, will not alone qualify. U.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors. Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Les États-Unis saisissent un pétrolier lié à l'Iran d'ici le 7 mars ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Les États-Unis saisissent un pétrolier lié à l'Iran avant le 7 mars ?" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 4¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 4% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Les États-Unis saisissent un pétrolier lié à l'Iran d'ici le 7 mars ?" has generated $81.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Les États-Unis saisissent un pétrolier lié à l'Iran d'ici le 7 mars ?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Les États-Unis saisissent un pétrolier lié à l'Iran d'ici le 7 mars ?" is "Les États-Unis saisissent un pétrolier lié à l'Iran avant le 7 mars ?" at just 4%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Les États-Unis saisissent un pétrolier lié à l'Iran d'ici le 7 mars ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.