Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has repeatedly conditioned any ceasefire on ironclad security guarantees akin to NATO membership and full territorial restoration, clashing with Russia's demands for recognition of annexed regions like Crimea and Donbas. No US-backed framework has materialized despite diplomatic overtures, including a recent US proposal for a 30-day truce that Moscow rejected as insufficient without addressing "root causes." Russian forces continue incremental advances in eastern Ukraine, sustaining battlefield pressure and complicating de-escalation. With President-elect Trump's inauguration on January 20, traders monitor potential executive actions or summits that could catalyze negotiations, though Kyiv's firm red lines and lack of breakthroughs in the past 30 days underscore persistent hurdles to agreement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourL'Ukraine accepte officiellement un cadre de cessez-le-feu soutenu par les États-Unis d'ici... ?
L'Ukraine accepte officiellement un cadre de cessez-le-feu soutenu par les États-Unis d'ici... ?
$1,490,297 Vol.
31 mars
2%
30 juin
12%
$1,490,297 Vol.
31 mars
2%
30 juin
12%
A qualifying peace framework is any publicly announced plan, roadmap, or framework intended as the basis for ending the war, provided that the United States formally endorses it and Ukraine officially agrees to it through one of the following:
1. A written or signed framework-related instrument issued or signed by Ukraine that affirms agreement with the U.S.-endorsed framework.
2. An official U.S.–Ukraine announcement — defined as an official government-issued declaration, such as a joint statement, communiqué, or coordinated official releases, explicitly stating that Ukraine has agreed to a U.S.-endorsed peace framework. The announcement must be issued through authorized government channels, including official written releases or formally published transcripts by the White House, State Department, Office of the President of Ukraine, Cabinet of Ministers, or Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Verbal (including interviews or remarks during bilateral meetings) and social-media claims by either leader will not qualify unless later issued in an official written or published form by the respective government. The U.S. President or any US government official publicly stating that “an agreement has been reached,” without a corresponding formal release or communiqué, will not qualify; the same applies to statements by the Ukrainian President or Ukrainian officials.
3. A formally issued Ukrainian governmental action — including a presidential decree, Cabinet resolution, or National Security and Defense Council decision — explicitly stating that Ukraine agrees to the U.S.-endorsed framework.
The primary resolution source will be official government documents, statements, decrees, and credible reporting confirming that Ukraine officially agreed to a U.S.-endorsed peace framework under the standards above.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 3:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying peace framework is any publicly announced plan, roadmap, or framework intended as the basis for ending the war, provided that the United States formally endorses it and Ukraine officially agrees to it through one of the following:
1. A written or signed framework-related instrument issued or signed by Ukraine that affirms agreement with the U.S.-endorsed framework.
2. An official U.S.–Ukraine announcement — defined as an official government-issued declaration, such as a joint statement, communiqué, or coordinated official releases, explicitly stating that Ukraine has agreed to a U.S.-endorsed peace framework. The announcement must be issued through authorized government channels, including official written releases or formally published transcripts by the White House, State Department, Office of the President of Ukraine, Cabinet of Ministers, or Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Verbal (including interviews or remarks during bilateral meetings) and social-media claims by either leader will not qualify unless later issued in an official written or published form by the respective government. The U.S. President or any US government official publicly stating that “an agreement has been reached,” without a corresponding formal release or communiqué, will not qualify; the same applies to statements by the Ukrainian President or Ukrainian officials.
3. A formally issued Ukrainian governmental action — including a presidential decree, Cabinet resolution, or National Security and Defense Council decision — explicitly stating that Ukraine agrees to the U.S.-endorsed framework.
The primary resolution source will be official government documents, statements, decrees, and credible reporting confirming that Ukraine officially agreed to a U.S.-endorsed peace framework under the standards above.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has repeatedly conditioned any ceasefire on ironclad security guarantees akin to NATO membership and full territorial restoration, clashing with Russia's demands for recognition of annexed regions like Crimea and Donbas. No US-backed framework has materialized despite diplomatic overtures, including a recent US proposal for a 30-day truce that Moscow rejected as insufficient without addressing "root causes." Russian forces continue incremental advances in eastern Ukraine, sustaining battlefield pressure and complicating de-escalation. With President-elect Trump's inauguration on January 20, traders monitor potential executive actions or summits that could catalyze negotiations, though Kyiv's firm red lines and lack of breakthroughs in the past 30 days underscore persistent hurdles to agreement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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