Tesla (TSLA) shares closed Thursday, April 2, 2026, at $360.59—squarely in the $360-$365 bin—cementing trader consensus at 99.2% implied probability for that outcome as the week-of-March 30 resolution hinges solely on Friday's close. This positioning follows a 5.4% intraday drop amid Tesla's Q1 2026 delivery report of 358,023 vehicles, which missed analyst consensus near 366,000 amid softening EV demand, expiring U.S. tax credits, and rising inventory. Shares had rallied mid-week from Monday's $355.28 low to Wednesday's $381.26 peak on broader market momentum before the data reversed gains. With high trading volume exceeding 80 million shares yesterday, stability prevails, though a surprise earnings preview, regulatory news, or sharp S&P 500 move could push beyond the bin. Q1 earnings loom April 22.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTesla (TSLA) ferme la semaine du 30 mars à ___ ?
Tesla (TSLA) ferme la semaine du 30 mars à ___ ?
360 $–365 $ 99.2%
<350 $ <1%
350 $-355 $ <1%
355 $ - 360 $ <1%
$32,984 Vol.
$32,984 Vol.
<350 $
<1%
350 $-355 $
<1%
355 $ - 360 $
<1%
360 $–365 $
99%
365 $ - 370 $
<1%
370 $ - 375 $
<1%
375 $-380 $
<1%
380 $-385 $
<1%
385 $-390 $
<1%
390 $-395 $
<1%
>395 $
<1%
360 $–365 $ 99.2%
<350 $ <1%
350 $-355 $ <1%
355 $ - 360 $ <1%
$32,984 Vol.
$32,984 Vol.
<350 $
<1%
350 $-355 $
<1%
355 $ - 360 $
<1%
360 $–365 $
99%
365 $ - 370 $
<1%
370 $ - 375 $
<1%
375 $-380 $
<1%
380 $-385 $
<1%
385 $-390 $
<1%
390 $-395 $
<1%
>395 $
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Source de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla (TSLA) shares closed Thursday, April 2, 2026, at $360.59—squarely in the $360-$365 bin—cementing trader consensus at 99.2% implied probability for that outcome as the week-of-March 30 resolution hinges solely on Friday's close. This positioning follows a 5.4% intraday drop amid Tesla's Q1 2026 delivery report of 358,023 vehicles, which missed analyst consensus near 366,000 amid softening EV demand, expiring U.S. tax credits, and rising inventory. Shares had rallied mid-week from Monday's $355.28 low to Wednesday's $381.26 peak on broader market momentum before the data reversed gains. With high trading volume exceeding 80 million shares yesterday, stability prevails, though a surprise earnings preview, regulatory news, or sharp S&P 500 move could push beyond the bin. Q1 earnings loom April 22.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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