Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects heightened uncertainty in silver (SI) pricing for June 2026 settlement, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 11-15% across bins from <$50 to >$115, driven by recent volatility following a 148% surge in 2025 and a 12.6% pullback over the past month amid profit-taking and bearish technical signals like a forming bear flag near $73 spot and June futures levels. Strong industrial demand from solar photovoltaics and electronics—bolstered by the Silver Institute's forecast of a sixth consecutive annual supply deficit—supports upside potential toward $80+, while macroeconomic headwinds including a resilient U.S. dollar, elevated Treasury yields, and Federal Reserve policy risks favor downside to sub-$60. Key differentiators include the April 15 COMEX delivery window, which could spark a short squeeze or expose structural weaknesses, alongside upcoming inflation data and nonfarm payrolls that may sway rate cut expectations and risk appetite through mid-June.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourÀ quoi Silver (SI) s'installera-t-il en juin ?
À quoi Silver (SI) s'installera-t-il en juin ?
50 à 60 $ 15.0%
70 $-80 $ 14.5%
60-70 $ 13.8%
Moins de 50 $ 13%
$450,098 Vol.
$450,098 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Moins de 50 $
13%
50 à 60 $
15%
60-70 $
14%
70 $-80 $
14%
80-90 $
11%
90$ - 100$
12%
100 $-115 $
11%
>115 $
12%
50 à 60 $ 15.0%
70 $-80 $ 14.5%
60-70 $ 13.8%
Moins de 50 $ 13%
$450,098 Vol.
$450,098 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Moins de 50 $
$60,659 Vol.
13%
50 à 60 $
$50,423 Vol.
15%
60-70 $
$50,680 Vol.
14%
70 $-80 $
$35,882 Vol.
14%
80-90 $
$22,964 Vol.
11%
90$ - 100$
$31,659 Vol.
12%
100 $-115 $
$39,147 Vol.
11%
>115 $
$158,684 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects heightened uncertainty in silver (SI) pricing for June 2026 settlement, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 11-15% across bins from <$50 to >$115, driven by recent volatility following a 148% surge in 2025 and a 12.6% pullback over the past month amid profit-taking and bearish technical signals like a forming bear flag near $73 spot and June futures levels. Strong industrial demand from solar photovoltaics and electronics—bolstered by the Silver Institute's forecast of a sixth consecutive annual supply deficit—supports upside potential toward $80+, while macroeconomic headwinds including a resilient U.S. dollar, elevated Treasury yields, and Federal Reserve policy risks favor downside to sub-$60. Key differentiators include the April 15 COMEX delivery window, which could spark a short squeeze or expose structural weaknesses, alongside upcoming inflation data and nonfarm payrolls that may sway rate cut expectations and risk appetite through mid-June.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Marché ouvert : Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Volume
$450,098Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/silver.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects heightened uncertainty in silver (SI) pricing for June 2026 settlement, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 11-15% across bins from <$50 to >$115, driven by recent volatility following a 148% surge in 2025 and a 12.6% pullback over the past month amid profit-taking and bearish technical signals like a forming bear flag near $73 spot and June futures levels. Strong industrial demand from solar photovoltaics and electronics—bolstered by the Silver Institute's forecast of a sixth consecutive annual supply deficit—supports upside potential toward $80+, while macroeconomic headwinds including a resilient U.S. dollar, elevated Treasury yields, and Federal Reserve policy risks favor downside to sub-$60. Key differentiators include the April 15 COMEX delivery window, which could spark a short squeeze or expose structural weaknesses, alongside upcoming inflation data and nonfarm payrolls that may sway rate cut expectations and risk appetite through mid-June.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Volume
$450,098Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/silver.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects heightened uncertainty in silver (SI) pricing for June 2026 settlement, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 11-15% across bins from <$50 to >$115, driven by recent volatility following a 148% surge in 2025 and a 12.6% pullback over the past month amid profit-taking and bearish technical signals like a forming bear flag near $73 spot and June futures levels. Strong industrial demand from solar photovoltaics and electronics—bolstered by the Silver Institute's forecast of a sixth consecutive annual supply deficit—supports upside potential toward $80+, while macroeconomic headwinds including a resilient U.S. dollar, elevated Treasury yields, and Federal Reserve policy risks favor downside to sub-$60. Key differentiators include the April 15 COMEX delivery window, which could spark a short squeeze or expose structural weaknesses, alongside upcoming inflation data and nonfarm payrolls that may sway rate cut expectations and risk appetite through mid-June.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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