Trader consensus heavily favors an $80-85 million opening weekend for "Project Hail Mary," reflecting Ryan Gosling's red-hot post-"Barbie" and "Oppenheimer" star power combined with Andy Weir's proven sci-fi draw from "The Martian," which debuted at $54 million in 2015 (inflation-adjusted to ~$70 million today). Early tracking and comps to recent hits like "Dune: Part Two" ($178 million debut) support this range, bolstered by positive buzz from the first teaser trailer and set photos showcasing groundbreaking VFX. March 2026's lighter release slate reduces competition risks, though unpredictable walk-ups and family appeal for its PG-13 rating could push toward $85-90 million (13.8% odds); lower buckets trail amid strong pre-sales sentiment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourBilletterie d'ouverture du week-end « Project Hail Mary »
Billetterie d'ouverture du week-end « Project Hail Mary »
80-85 M 61%
75-80 millions 22%
85-90 millions 12.3%
70-75 millions 2.8%
$660,759 Vol.
$660,759 Vol.
<50M
<1%
50-55 M$
<1%
55-60 millions
<1%
60-65 millions
<1%
65-70 M
<1%
70-75 millions
3%
75-80 millions
22%
80-85 M
61%
85-90 millions
12%
>90M
1%
80-85 M 61%
75-80 millions 22%
85-90 millions 12.3%
70-75 millions 2.8%
$660,759 Vol.
$660,759 Vol.
<50M
<1%
50-55 M$
<1%
55-60 millions
<1%
60-65 millions
<1%
65-70 M
<1%
70-75 millions
3%
75-80 millions
22%
80-85 M
61%
85-90 millions
12%
>90M
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors an $80-85 million opening weekend for "Project Hail Mary," reflecting Ryan Gosling's red-hot post-"Barbie" and "Oppenheimer" star power combined with Andy Weir's proven sci-fi draw from "The Martian," which debuted at $54 million in 2015 (inflation-adjusted to ~$70 million today). Early tracking and comps to recent hits like "Dune: Part Two" ($178 million debut) support this range, bolstered by positive buzz from the first teaser trailer and set photos showcasing groundbreaking VFX. March 2026's lighter release slate reduces competition risks, though unpredictable walk-ups and family appeal for its PG-13 rating could push toward $85-90 million (13.8% odds); lower buckets trail amid strong pre-sales sentiment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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