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Précipitations à New York en mars ?

Market icon

Précipitations à New York en mars ?

3-4" 99.3%

5-6" <1%

4-5" <1%

>15 cm <1%

Polymarket

$182,532 Vol.

3-4" 99.3%

5-6" <1%

4-5" <1%

>15 cm <1%

Polymarket

$182,532 Vol.

<2"

$32,231 Vol.

<1%

2-3"

$13,408 Vol.

<1%

3-4"

$34,442 Vol.

99%

4-5"

$29,603 Vol.

<1%

5-6"

$19,043 Vol.

<1%

>15 cm

$53,805 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 3-4 inches of total liquid-equivalent precipitation at New York City's Central Park weather station for March 2026 (99.3% implied probability), driven by National Weather Service preliminary climatological data showing a monthly accumulation of approximately 3.2 inches through March 31. This drier-than-normal outcome—versus the 1991-2020 March average of 4.29 inches—stems from limited major rain events, with the heaviest on March 5 (1.39 inches) and March 16 (0.57 inches), amid persistent high-pressure systems and below-average storm track activity influenced by ENSO-neutral conditions. Final NOAA monthly summaries could prompt minor revisions from gauge calibrations or snowmelt adjustments, but significant upward shifts to 4+ inches appear unlikely given the complete observational record. Traders await certified data release in early April for resolution.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$182,532
Date de fin
31 mars 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 26, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 3-4 inches of total liquid-equivalent precipitation at New York City's Central Park weather station for March 2026 (99.3% implied probability), driven by National Weather Service preliminary climatological data showing a monthly accumulation of approximately 3.2 inches through March 31. This drier-than-normal outcome—versus the 1991-2020 March average of 4.29 inches—stems from limited major rain events, with the heaviest on March 5 (1.39 inches) and March 16 (0.57 inches), amid persistent high-pressure systems and below-average storm track activity influenced by ENSO-neutral conditions. Final NOAA monthly summaries could prompt minor revisions from gauge calibrations or snowmelt adjustments, but significant upward shifts to 4+ inches appear unlikely given the complete observational record. Traders await certified data release in early April for resolution.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$182,532
Date de fin
31 mars 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 26, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Questions fréquentes

« Précipitations à New York en mars ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 3-4" » à 99%, suivi de « <2" » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 99¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 99% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Précipitations à New York en mars ? » a généré $182.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Feb 26, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Précipitations à New York en mars ? », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Précipitations à New York en mars ? » est « 3-4" » à 99%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 99% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « <2" » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Précipitations à New York en mars ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.