Trader sentiment on the Nobel Peace Prize 2026 hinges on Volodymyr Zelenskyy's top spot at 11.6%, fueled by his unyielding Ukraine leadership amid stalled peace talks, edging out Yulia Navalnaya's 8.5% nod for her anti-authoritarian activism post-Navalny. Donald Trump's 7% reflects optimism around his deal-making history and recent U.S. election win, positioning him as a wildcard for conflict resolutions. The bunched frontrunners—within 5 points—underscore competitive volatility, with organizations like the ICJ (4.4%) gaining from Gaza rulings and UNRWA (3.7%) for aid amid humanitarian crises. Differentiators include Zelenskyy's wartime symbolism, Navalnaya's moral clarity, and Trump's diplomatic leverage, though the Nobel's secretive voting often defies such cultural momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026
Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026
Volodymyr Zelenskyy 10.7%
Yulia Navalnaya 9%
Donald Trump 7%
Pope Leo XIV 5.1%
$10,356,587 Vol.
$10,356,587 Vol.

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
11%

Yulia Navalnaya
9%

Donald Trump
7%

Pope Leo XIV
5%

La Cour internationale de Justice
4%

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
4%

UNRWA
4%

Greta Thunberg
3%

Narendra Modi
2%

Titre de l’élément de groupe : António Guterres
2%

Khaled Mashal
2%

Charlie Kirk
2%

Julian Assange
2%

Elon Musk
2%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
1%

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
1%

Mohammed bin Salman
1%

Xi Jinping
1%

Vladimir Poutine
1%

Benjamin Netanyahu
<1%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy 10.7%
Yulia Navalnaya 9%
Donald Trump 7%
Pope Leo XIV 5.1%
$10,356,587 Vol.
$10,356,587 Vol.

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
11%

Yulia Navalnaya
9%

Donald Trump
7%

Pope Leo XIV
5%

La Cour internationale de Justice
4%

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
4%

UNRWA
4%

Greta Thunberg
3%

Narendra Modi
2%

Titre de l’élément de groupe : António Guterres
2%

Khaled Mashal
2%

Charlie Kirk
2%

Julian Assange
2%

Elon Musk
2%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
1%

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
1%

Mohammed bin Salman
1%

Xi Jinping
1%

Vladimir Poutine
1%

Benjamin Netanyahu
<1%
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Marché ouvert : Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on the Nobel Peace Prize 2026 hinges on Volodymyr Zelenskyy's top spot at 11.6%, fueled by his unyielding Ukraine leadership amid stalled peace talks, edging out Yulia Navalnaya's 8.5% nod for her anti-authoritarian activism post-Navalny. Donald Trump's 7% reflects optimism around his deal-making history and recent U.S. election win, positioning him as a wildcard for conflict resolutions. The bunched frontrunners—within 5 points—underscore competitive volatility, with organizations like the ICJ (4.4%) gaining from Gaza rulings and UNRWA (3.7%) for aid amid humanitarian crises. Differentiators include Zelenskyy's wartime symbolism, Navalnaya's moral clarity, and Trump's diplomatic leverage, though the Nobel's secretive voting often defies such cultural momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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