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Le prochain acteur de James Bond ?

Market icon

Le prochain acteur de James Bond ?

Aucun Bond choisi 71%

Callum Turner 18%

Jacob Elordi 3.5%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 2.7%

Polymarket

$1,597,410 Vol.

Aucun Bond choisi 71%

Callum Turner 18%

Jacob Elordi 3.5%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 2.7%

Polymarket

$1,597,410 Vol.

Market icon

Aucun Bond choisi

$241,648 Vol.

71%

Market icon

Callum Turner

$107,087 Vol.

18%

Market icon

Jacob Elordi

$215,803 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$93,763 Vol.

3%

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Henry Cavill

$231,254 Vol.

2%

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Paul Mescal

$86,570 Vol.

1%

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James Norton

$99,367 Vol.

1%

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Harris Dickinson

$129,336 Vol.

1%

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Jack Lowdon

$63,531 Vol.

1%

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Josh O'Connor

$12,901 Vol.

1%

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Theo James

$16,781 Vol.

1%

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Pierce Brosnan

$169,427 Vol.

1%

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Tom Hardy

$61,704 Vol.

<1%

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Tom Holland

$57,780 Vol.

<1%

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Robert James-Collier

$10,457 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon (70.5% implied probability), reflecting five years of post-Daniel Craig limbo with no official announcement from producers Barbara Broccoli and Michael G. Wilson or Amazon MGM, despite director Denis Villeneuve's reported involvement and script progress by Steven Knight. Callum Turner has surged as the frontrunner at 17.5% following mid-March rumors dubbing his casting the "worst-kept secret" in Hollywood, boosted by his rising profile in Masters of the Air and betting market shifts, while Jacob Elordi's screen test buzz and Aaron Taylor-Johnson's prior momentum have cooled without confirmation. Unverified speculation dominates amid historical casting secrecy, with production eyed for late 2026 but no firm timeline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,597,410
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon (70.5% implied probability), reflecting five years of post-Daniel Craig limbo with no official announcement from producers Barbara Broccoli and Michael G. Wilson or Amazon MGM, despite director Denis Villeneuve's reported involvement and script progress by Steven Knight. Callum Turner has surged as the frontrunner at 17.5% following mid-March rumors dubbing his casting the "worst-kept secret" in Hollywood, boosted by his rising profile in Masters of the Air and betting market shifts, while Jacob Elordi's screen test buzz and Aaron Taylor-Johnson's prior momentum have cooled without confirmation. Unverified speculation dominates amid historical casting secrecy, with production eyed for late 2026 but no firm timeline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,597,410
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 15 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Aucun Bond choisi » à 71%, suivi de « Callum Turner » à 18%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 71¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 71% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? » a généré $1.6 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 4, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? », parcourez les 15 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? » est « Aucun Bond choisi » à 71%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 71% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Callum Turner » à 18%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.