Traders price a No. 1 seed national champion at 64.5% implied probability as UConn and Purdue—both top overall seeds—advanced to the Final Four with authoritative Elite Eight wins over the weekend, UConn routing No. 3 Illinois 77-52 on defending-champion momentum and Purdue outlasting No. 2 Tennessee 72-66 via Zach Edey's 40-point, 16-rebound dominance. No. 3 seeds like Illinois drew 20% consensus earlier on Sweet 16 surges but faltered against elite bigs, while No. 2 seeds such as Tennessee sit at 19.5% reflecting head-to-head vulnerabilities. Lower seeds including Alabama (4) and NC State (11) fuel minor upset pricing, but top seeds' form, matchup edges, and historical Final Four success (multiple No. 1s crowned since 2011) drive the lopsided sentiment amid no major injury disruptions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed
NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed
1 72%
2 20%
3 20%
5 16%
1
64%
2
20%
3
20%
4
4%
5
16%
6
5%
9
8%
1 72%
2 20%
3 20%
5 16%
1
64%
2
20%
3
20%
4
4%
5
16%
6
5%
9
8%
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 18, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders price a No. 1 seed national champion at 64.5% implied probability as UConn and Purdue—both top overall seeds—advanced to the Final Four with authoritative Elite Eight wins over the weekend, UConn routing No. 3 Illinois 77-52 on defending-champion momentum and Purdue outlasting No. 2 Tennessee 72-66 via Zach Edey's 40-point, 16-rebound dominance. No. 3 seeds like Illinois drew 20% consensus earlier on Sweet 16 surges but faltered against elite bigs, while No. 2 seeds such as Tennessee sit at 19.5% reflecting head-to-head vulnerabilities. Lower seeds including Alabama (4) and NC State (11) fuel minor upset pricing, but top seeds' form, matchup edges, and historical Final Four success (multiple No. 1s crowned since 2011) drive the lopsided sentiment amid no major injury disruptions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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