With two Final Four teams in Michigan and Illinois, the Big Ten commands trader consensus at 50.5% implied probability for producing the NCAA Tournament national champion, bolstered by the conference's dominant run including a record-tying four Elite Eight squads last weekend. Michigan, a No. 1 regional seed, advanced past Alabama and Tennessee, while No. 3 Illinois earned its spot with gritty Sweet 16 and Elite Eight wins. Arizona (Big 12, 34%) holds strong as the other top seed after navigating a tough bracket, but UConn (Big East, 13.6%) enters as a battle-tested underdog following its stunning Elite Eight comeback against Duke. No major injury updates have shifted sentiment ahead of Saturday's Lucas Oil Stadium semifinals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTournoi NCAA : Conférence des champions nationaux
Tournoi NCAA : Conférence des champions nationaux
Big Ten 51%
Big 12 34%
Big East 13.6%
$97,515 Vol.
$97,515 Vol.
Big Ten
51%
Big 12
34%
Big East
14%
Big Ten 51%
Big 12 34%
Big East 13.6%
$97,515 Vol.
$97,515 Vol.
Big Ten
51%
Big 12
34%
Big East
14%
If at any point it becomes impossible for any team from the listed conference to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament championship game per the rules of the NCAA (e.g., team is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the conference whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a national champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the National Collegiate Athletic Association (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/basketball-men/d1); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 10, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for any team from the listed conference to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament championship game per the rules of the NCAA (e.g., team is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the conference whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a national champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the National Collegiate Athletic Association (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/basketball-men/d1); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With two Final Four teams in Michigan and Illinois, the Big Ten commands trader consensus at 50.5% implied probability for producing the NCAA Tournament national champion, bolstered by the conference's dominant run including a record-tying four Elite Eight squads last weekend. Michigan, a No. 1 regional seed, advanced past Alabama and Tennessee, while No. 3 Illinois earned its spot with gritty Sweet 16 and Elite Eight wins. Arizona (Big 12, 34%) holds strong as the other top seed after navigating a tough bracket, but UConn (Big East, 13.6%) enters as a battle-tested underdog following its stunning Elite Eight comeback against Duke. No major injury updates have shifted sentiment ahead of Saturday's Lucas Oil Stadium semifinals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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