With the men's NCAA Tournament down to the Final Four—featuring Michigan, Arizona, UConn, and Illinois—traders price "No" at 96.5% implied probability for any player recording a triple-double, reflecting zero such performances through the Elite Eight despite over 60 games played. This aligns with historical scarcity, as only about 10 official triple-doubles have occurred in March Madness history amid tighter defenses, lower possessions (typically 60-70 per game), and win-focused play over stat-padding. Final Four stars like Michigan's Yaxel Lendeborg or Illinois' Keaton Wagler lead in scoring or rebounding but lack consistent assist volume; an upset-level stat line from a high-usage guard in Saturday's semifinals or the April 6 championship could shift odds, though elite matchups make it improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
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For the purpose of this market, a triple-double is achieved when a player records double digits (10 or more) in three of the following statistical categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals, or blocks.
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament competition is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a triple-double occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 10, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market, a triple-double is achieved when a player records double digits (10 or more) in three of the following statistical categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals, or blocks.
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament competition is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a triple-double occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...With the men's NCAA Tournament down to the Final Four—featuring Michigan, Arizona, UConn, and Illinois—traders price "No" at 96.5% implied probability for any player recording a triple-double, reflecting zero such performances through the Elite Eight despite over 60 games played. This aligns with historical scarcity, as only about 10 official triple-doubles have occurred in March Madness history amid tighter defenses, lower possessions (typically 60-70 per game), and win-focused play over stat-padding. Final Four stars like Michigan's Yaxel Lendeborg or Illinois' Keaton Wagler lead in scoring or rebounding but lack consistent assist volume; an upset-level stat line from a high-usage guard in Saturday's semifinals or the April 6 championship could shift odds, though elite matchups make it improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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