Shohei Ohtani leads trader consensus at 44.5% implied probability for the 2026 NL Hank Aaron Award, driven by his 2024 offensive explosion—54 home runs, league-high OPS, and 130 RBIs as the Dodgers' full-time DH—positioning him as the benchmark for elite slugging. Ronald Acuña Jr., Fernando Tatis Jr., and Bryce Harper cluster near 35% on proven power tracks records, youth (Tatis and Acuña under 30), and Phillies/Braves/Padres lineup protection, though Acuña's ACL rehab completion bolsters his outlook after missing most of 2024. Mookie Betts sits close despite hand injury setbacks, while Juan Soto's viability depends on NL free-agency landing spots like the Mets amid hot pursuit. Consensus discounts lower-tier options lacking sustained MVP-caliber hitting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourMLB : 2026 NL Hank Aaron Vainqueur
MLB : 2026 NL Hank Aaron Vainqueur
Bryce Harper 37.9%
Fernando Tatis Jr. 37.4%
Mookie Betts 36.3%
Francisco Lindor 27.8%
Bryce Harper
38%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
37%
Mookie Betts
36%
Francisco Lindor
28%
Juan Soto
17%
Kyle Schwarber
9%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
2%
Shohei Ohtani
44%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
37%
Ketel Marte
27%
Bryce Harper 37.9%
Fernando Tatis Jr. 37.4%
Mookie Betts 36.3%
Francisco Lindor 27.8%
Bryce Harper
38%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
37%
Mookie Betts
36%
Francisco Lindor
28%
Juan Soto
17%
Kyle Schwarber
9%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
2%
Shohei Ohtani
44%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
37%
Ketel Marte
27%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Shohei Ohtani leads trader consensus at 44.5% implied probability for the 2026 NL Hank Aaron Award, driven by his 2024 offensive explosion—54 home runs, league-high OPS, and 130 RBIs as the Dodgers' full-time DH—positioning him as the benchmark for elite slugging. Ronald Acuña Jr., Fernando Tatis Jr., and Bryce Harper cluster near 35% on proven power tracks records, youth (Tatis and Acuña under 30), and Phillies/Braves/Padres lineup protection, though Acuña's ACL rehab completion bolsters his outlook after missing most of 2024. Mookie Betts sits close despite hand injury setbacks, while Juan Soto's viability depends on NL free-agency landing spots like the Mets amid hot pursuit. Consensus discounts lower-tier options lacking sustained MVP-caliber hitting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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