Trader consensus prices the Seattle Mariners at a slim 17% implied probability to capture the 2026 AL pennant, edging the New York Yankees (16.5%) in a tightly contested futures market reflecting American League parity after the 2025 season's lack of a clear superpower. Seattle's elite rotation—anchored by Luis Castillo, Logan Gilbert, and Bryce Miller—combined with Julio Rodríguez's star potential drives their lead, while Yankees' Aaron Judge and potential Juan Soto extension fuel close pursuit; Toronto Blue Jays (12.5%) benefit from Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s prime, Detroit Tigers (11.5%) leverage a surging young core post-rebuild, and Boston Red Sox (11%) boast MLB's top farm system per recent prospect rankings. Offseason extensions and minor roster tweaks have kept probabilities bunched at 11-17%, highlighting widespread paths to playoffs via division titles or wild cards amid balanced AL East and West fields.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourMLB : Champion de la Ligue américaine 2026
MLB : Champion de la Ligue américaine 2026
Mariners de Seattle 17%
Yankees de New York 17%
Blue Jays de Toronto 13%
Detroit Tigers 12%
$2,488,670 Vol.
$2,488,670 Vol.
Mariners de Seattle
17%
Yankees de New York
17%
Blue Jays de Toronto
13%
Detroit Tigers
12%
Red Sox de Boston
11%
Texas Rangers
8%
Orioles de Baltimore
7%
Astros de Houston
6%
Royals de Kansas City
4%
Guardians de Cleveland
4%
Athletics
2%
Rays de Tampa Bay
1%
Los Angeles Angels
1%
White Sox de Chicago
1%
Twins du Minnesota
1%
Mariners de Seattle 17%
Yankees de New York 17%
Blue Jays de Toronto 13%
Detroit Tigers 12%
$2,488,670 Vol.
$2,488,670 Vol.
Mariners de Seattle
17%
Yankees de New York
17%
Blue Jays de Toronto
13%
Detroit Tigers
12%
Red Sox de Boston
11%
Texas Rangers
8%
Orioles de Baltimore
7%
Astros de Houston
6%
Royals de Kansas City
4%
Guardians de Cleveland
4%
Athletics
2%
Rays de Tampa Bay
1%
Los Angeles Angels
1%
White Sox de Chicago
1%
Twins du Minnesota
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices the Seattle Mariners at a slim 17% implied probability to capture the 2026 AL pennant, edging the New York Yankees (16.5%) in a tightly contested futures market reflecting American League parity after the 2025 season's lack of a clear superpower. Seattle's elite rotation—anchored by Luis Castillo, Logan Gilbert, and Bryce Miller—combined with Julio Rodríguez's star potential drives their lead, while Yankees' Aaron Judge and potential Juan Soto extension fuel close pursuit; Toronto Blue Jays (12.5%) benefit from Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s prime, Detroit Tigers (11.5%) leverage a surging young core post-rebuild, and Boston Red Sox (11%) boast MLB's top farm system per recent prospect rankings. Offseason extensions and minor roster tweaks have kept probabilities bunched at 11-17%, highlighting widespread paths to playoffs via division titles or wild cards amid balanced AL East and West fields.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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