Israeli airstrikes in Gaza killed three Palestinian men today, per health officials, marking the latest in a series of sporadic military actions despite a U.S.-brokered ceasefire over five months old. Strikes on March 31 killed six others, including at Hamas-led police checkpoints, while artillery shelling targeted eastern Gaza neighborhoods like Al-Zaytoun amid reports of tightened blockades and aid restrictions. This pattern of targeting militants and security sites sustains trader focus on potential daily escalations or de-escalations, with satellite imagery showing Israel advancing control lines deeper into Gaza. Fragile truce talks and crossing reopenings offer counterpressure, but ongoing violations keep probabilities volatile ahead of any snap diplomatic breakthroughs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourIsrael military action against Gaza on...?
Israel military action against Gaza on...?
$12,689 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
April 1
12%
April 2
32%
April 3
45%
April 4
53%
April 5
50%
April 6
53%
April 7
57%
April 8
57%
April 9
57%
April 10
57%
$12,689 Vol.
April 1
$10,236 Vol.
12%
April 2
$1,355 Vol.
32%
April 3
$499 Vol.
45%
April 4
$9 Vol.
53%
April 5
$0 Vol.
50%
April 6
$186 Vol.
53%
April 7
$164 Vol.
57%
April 8
$0 Vol.
57%
April 9
$198 Vol.
57%
April 10
$42 Vol.
57%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli airstrikes in Gaza killed three Palestinian men today, per health officials, marking the latest in a series of sporadic military actions despite a U.S.-brokered ceasefire over five months old. Strikes on March 31 killed six others, including at Hamas-led police checkpoints, while artillery shelling targeted eastern Gaza neighborhoods like Al-Zaytoun amid reports of tightened blockades and aid restrictions. This pattern of targeting militants and security sites sustains trader focus on potential daily escalations or de-escalations, with satellite imagery showing Israel advancing control lines deeper into Gaza. Fragile truce talks and crossing reopenings offer counterpressure, but ongoing violations keep probabilities volatile ahead of any snap diplomatic breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 1:02 PM ET
Volume
$12,689Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 1:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli airstrikes in Gaza killed three Palestinian men today, per health officials, marking the latest in a series of sporadic military actions despite a U.S.-brokered ceasefire over five months old. Strikes on March 31 killed six others, including at Hamas-led police checkpoints, while artillery shelling targeted eastern Gaza neighborhoods like Al-Zaytoun amid reports of tightened blockades and aid restrictions. This pattern of targeting militants and security sites sustains trader focus on potential daily escalations or de-escalations, with satellite imagery showing Israel advancing control lines deeper into Gaza. Fragile truce talks and crossing reopenings offer counterpressure, but ongoing violations keep probabilities volatile ahead of any snap diplomatic breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$12,689Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 1:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli airstrikes in Gaza killed three Palestinian men today, per health officials, marking the latest in a series of sporadic military actions despite a U.S.-brokered ceasefire over five months old. Strikes on March 31 killed six others, including at Hamas-led police checkpoints, while artillery shelling targeted eastern Gaza neighborhoods like Al-Zaytoun amid reports of tightened blockades and aid restrictions. This pattern of targeting militants and security sites sustains trader focus on potential daily escalations or de-escalations, with satellite imagery showing Israel advancing control lines deeper into Gaza. Fragile truce talks and crossing reopenings offer counterpressure, but ongoing violations keep probabilities volatile ahead of any snap diplomatic breakthroughs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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