Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs "Hoppers'" third-weekend domestic box office in the tight 16.5-19.5 million range, with 18-19.5 million edging out at 33.5% implied probability, driven by the animated family film's impressive second-weekend hold of $22.4 million—a modest 36% drop from its $35.1 million debut—bolstered by A CinemaScore and glowing word-of-mouth among parents and kids. Yet, fierce competition looms from Disney's juggernaut Moana 2 opening wide Thanksgiving week alongside Wicked's remarkable legs and Gladiator II's adult draw, pressuring family counters. Differentiators include Hoppers' counterprogramming edge in non-holiday showtimes and sustained streaming avoidance, though final Friday tracking could swing odds toward sub-18 million if early drops accelerate.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour« Trémies » 3e box-office du week-end
« Trémies » 3e box-office du week-end
16,5-18 M$ 52.0%
18-19,5 millions 35%
19,5-21m 20%
>21M 7%
$37,419 Vol.
$37,419 Vol.
<16,5 millions
<1%
16,5-18 M$
36%
18-19,5 millions
35%
19,5-21m
20%
>21M
7%
16,5-18 M$ 52.0%
18-19,5 millions 35%
19,5-21m 20%
>21M 7%
$37,419 Vol.
$37,419 Vol.
<16,5 millions
<1%
16,5-18 M$
36%
18-19,5 millions
35%
19,5-21m
20%
>21M
7%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Mar 17, 2026, 9:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs "Hoppers'" third-weekend domestic box office in the tight 16.5-19.5 million range, with 18-19.5 million edging out at 33.5% implied probability, driven by the animated family film's impressive second-weekend hold of $22.4 million—a modest 36% drop from its $35.1 million debut—bolstered by A CinemaScore and glowing word-of-mouth among parents and kids. Yet, fierce competition looms from Disney's juggernaut Moana 2 opening wide Thanksgiving week alongside Wicked's remarkable legs and Gladiator II's adult draw, pressuring family counters. Differentiators include Hoppers' counterprogramming edge in non-holiday showtimes and sustained streaming avoidance, though final Friday tracking could swing odds toward sub-18 million if early drops accelerate.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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