Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for EUR/USD closing down on March 20, driven primarily by the Federal Reserve's hawkish FOMC decision, which held rates steady at 5.25-5.50% while signaling only three 25bp cuts for 2024 amid persistent inflation pressures above the 2% target. Hotter-than-expected U.S. CPI and PPI data earlier in the week bolstered USD strength, widening yield differentials versus a more dovish ECB. EUR/USD traded below 1.0820 post-Powell presser, confirming the downside move from March 19's 1.0855 close. Tail risks include surprise Eurozone data upside or risk-off flows reversing dollar gains, though near-zero odds reflect end-of-day settlement certainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourEn hausse
$540 Vol.
$540 Vol.
En hausse
$540 Vol.
$540 Vol.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of the week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market's resolution will be based solely on information from the "C" figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chartResolver
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of the week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market's resolution will be based solely on information from the "C" figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Resolution Source
https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chartResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for EUR/USD closing down on March 20, driven primarily by the Federal Reserve's hawkish FOMC decision, which held rates steady at 5.25-5.50% while signaling only three 25bp cuts for 2024 amid persistent inflation pressures above the 2% target. Hotter-than-expected U.S. CPI and PPI data earlier in the week bolstered USD strength, widening yield differentials versus a more dovish ECB. EUR/USD traded below 1.0820 post-Powell presser, confirming the downside move from March 19's 1.0855 close. Tail risks include surprise Eurozone data upside or risk-off flows reversing dollar gains, though near-zero odds reflect end-of-day settlement certainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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