Republican majorities in Congress following the 2024 elections have solidified trader consensus against repealing the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act cap on gambling loss deductions before 2027, with "No" shares reflecting 73% implied probability. Lawmakers prioritize extending TCJA provisions expiring end-2025, including the limit allowing deductions only up to winnings, amid no active bipartisan bills for change despite American Gaming Association lobbying amid sports betting expansion. Recent IRS guidance reinforces current rules, and President-elect Trump's tax agenda focuses on broader cuts without targeting gambling specifics, reducing prospects for targeted repeal in 2025 lame-duck or 2026 sessions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$62,162 Vol.
$62,162 Vol.
Oui
$62,162 Vol.
$62,162 Vol.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Republican majorities in Congress following the 2024 elections have solidified trader consensus against repealing the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act cap on gambling loss deductions before 2027, with "No" shares reflecting 73% implied probability. Lawmakers prioritize extending TCJA provisions expiring end-2025, including the limit allowing deductions only up to winnings, amid no active bipartisan bills for change despite American Gaming Association lobbying amid sports betting expansion. Recent IRS guidance reinforces current rules, and President-elect Trump's tax agenda focuses on broader cuts without targeting gambling specifics, reducing prospects for targeted repeal in 2025 lame-duck or 2026 sessions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes