Trader consensus pins Claude by Anthropic as the frontrunner at 62% implied probability for the #2 free spot in the US Apple App Store on March 24, fueled by its fresh iOS launch earlier that month and surging downloads amid Claude 3 model hype, outpacing rivals in AI utility for mobile users. March Madness second-round games that day propelled sports apps like NCAA March Madness Live (25%), CBS Sports (24.5%), and ESPN Tournament Challenge (23%), reflecting real-time spikes in live scores and bracket trackers during peak tournament viewership. ChatGPT holds steady at 24% on OpenAI's entrenched popularity, while Freecash (23.5%) rides reward-based gaming trends and Temu (11%) e-commerce promotions; Google Gemini lags at 4% post its later rollout. Odds hinge on official App Store rankings, with AI momentum challenging seasonal sports surges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?
Claude by Anthropic 83%
NCAA March Madness Live 25%
CBS Sports App: Scores & News 25%
ChatGPT 24%

Claude by Anthropic
62%

NCAA March Madness Live
25%

CBS Sports App: Scores & News
25%

ChatGPT
24%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
24%

ESPN Tournament Challenge
23%

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
11%

Google Gemini
4%
Claude by Anthropic 83%
NCAA March Madness Live 25%
CBS Sports App: Scores & News 25%
ChatGPT 24%

Claude by Anthropic
62%

NCAA March Madness Live
25%

CBS Sports App: Scores & News
25%

ChatGPT
24%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
24%

ESPN Tournament Challenge
23%

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
11%

Google Gemini
4%
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 1:10 PM ET
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0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus pins Claude by Anthropic as the frontrunner at 62% implied probability for the #2 free spot in the US Apple App Store on March 24, fueled by its fresh iOS launch earlier that month and surging downloads amid Claude 3 model hype, outpacing rivals in AI utility for mobile users. March Madness second-round games that day propelled sports apps like NCAA March Madness Live (25%), CBS Sports (24.5%), and ESPN Tournament Challenge (23%), reflecting real-time spikes in live scores and bracket trackers during peak tournament viewership. ChatGPT holds steady at 24% on OpenAI's entrenched popularity, while Freecash (23.5%) rides reward-based gaming trends and Temu (11%) e-commerce promotions; Google Gemini lags at 4% post its later rollout. Odds hinge on official App Store rankings, with AI momentum challenging seasonal sports surges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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