ChatGPT's 91.5% implied probability as the top free app in the US Apple App Store on March 24 stems primarily from OpenAI's March 20 rollout of Advanced Voice Mode to all Plus subscribers, sparking a massive download surge that vaulted it to #1 on March 21 and sustained its lead per Sensor Tower data. Trader consensus reflects this momentum amid peaking iOS AI app interest, outpacing rivals like Google Gemini. Challenges could arise from a sudden March Madness spike propelling ESPN Tournament Challenge or CBS Sports higher—historically viral during tournament peaks—or an improbable Freecash payout frenzy, though current trajectories favor ChatGPT's stickiness through voice-driven engagement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?
ChatGPT 92%
CBS Sports App: Scores & News 3.4%
Google Gemini 2.2%
Freecash - Get Paid Real Money 2.1%
$13,610 Vol.
$13,610 Vol.

ChatGPT
92%

CBS Sports App: Scores & News
3%

Google Gemini
2%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
2%

ESPN Tournament Challenge
1%

NCAA March Madness Live
1%

Claude by Anthropic
<1%

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
<1%
ChatGPT 92%
CBS Sports App: Scores & News 3.4%
Google Gemini 2.2%
Freecash - Get Paid Real Money 2.1%
$13,610 Vol.
$13,610 Vol.

ChatGPT
92%

CBS Sports App: Scores & News
3%

Google Gemini
2%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
2%

ESPN Tournament Challenge
1%

NCAA March Madness Live
1%

Claude by Anthropic
<1%

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
<1%
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 1:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...ChatGPT's 91.5% implied probability as the top free app in the US Apple App Store on March 24 stems primarily from OpenAI's March 20 rollout of Advanced Voice Mode to all Plus subscribers, sparking a massive download surge that vaulted it to #1 on March 21 and sustained its lead per Sensor Tower data. Trader consensus reflects this momentum amid peaking iOS AI app interest, outpacing rivals like Google Gemini. Challenges could arise from a sudden March Madness spike propelling ESPN Tournament Challenge or CBS Sports higher—historically viral during tournament peaks—or an improbable Freecash payout frenzy, though current trajectories favor ChatGPT's stickiness through voice-driven engagement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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