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Will SBF testify?

Market icon

Will SBF testify?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$10,770 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$10,770 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SBF testifies in his ongoing (as of Oct 3, 2023) trial by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution will be based exclusively on SBF's ongoing trial.

If SBF's ongoing trial ends (e.g. mistrial) at any point without him testifying, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the US court system, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$10,770
End Date
Jun 30, 2024
Created At
Oct 4, 2023, 1:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SBF testifies in his ongoing (as of Oct 3, 2023) trial by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based exclusively on SBF's ongoing trial. If SBF's ongoing trial ends (e.g. mistrial) at any point without him testifying, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the US court system, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SBF testifies in his ongoing (as of Oct 3, 2023) trial by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution will be based exclusively on SBF's ongoing trial.

If SBF's ongoing trial ends (e.g. mistrial) at any point without him testifying, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the US court system, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$10,770
End Date
Jun 30, 2024
Created At
Oct 4, 2023, 1:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SBF testifies in his ongoing (as of Oct 3, 2023) trial by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based exclusively on SBF's ongoing trial. If SBF's ongoing trial ends (e.g. mistrial) at any point without him testifying, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the US court system, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will SBF testify?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will SBF testify?" has generated $10.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 4, 2023. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will SBF testify?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will SBF testify?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will SBF testify?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.