Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$31,565,961 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 71%

Kevin Warsh 13%

Christopher Waller 7.7%

Scott Bessent 3.7%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$31,565,961
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.

$31,565,961 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 71%

Kevin Warsh 13%

Christopher Waller 7.7%

Scott Bessent 3.7%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$2,093,142 Vol.

71%

Kevin Warsh

$542,136 Vol.

13%

Christopher Waller

$816,744 Vol.

8%

Scott Bessent

$640,378 Vol.

4%

Rick Rieder

$516,848 Vol.

3%

Michelle Bowman

$430,259 Vol.

2%

Stephen Miran

$803,748 Vol.

1%

Jerome Powell

$442,465 Vol.

1%

James Bullard

$509,580 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$990,181 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$426,560 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$509,789 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$2,611,406 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$904,427 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$503,963 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,362,290 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$1,907,893 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$971,525 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$264,539 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,398,822 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$276,477 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$736,777 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$105,017 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$6,336,537 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$459,494 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$31,565,961
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.