Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$18,713,303 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 78%

Kevin Warsh 12%

Christopher Waller 3.8%

Scott Bessent 3.8%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,713,303
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM
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$18,713,303 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 78%

Kevin Warsh 12%

Christopher Waller 3.8%

Scott Bessent 3.8%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$1,881,208 Vol.

78%

Kevin Warsh

$485,124 Vol.

12%

Christopher Waller

$742,377 Vol.

4%

Scott Bessent

$579,489 Vol.

4%

Rick Rieder

$458,955 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$387,133 Vol.

2%

David Malpass

$372,231 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$754,235 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$940,067 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$360,882 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$442,456 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$2,608,524 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$882,849 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$482,213 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$883,927 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$1,885,893 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$440,337 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$968,525 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$258,887 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,354,622 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$267,291 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$715,777 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$102,009 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$37,271 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$416,028 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$18,713,303
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM