Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$6,712,930 Vol.
Kevin Hassett 45%
Kevin Warsh 16%
Christopher Waller 14%
Rick Rieder 12.5%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Kevin Hassett
$127,216 Vol.
45%
Kevin Hassett
$127,216 Vol.
45%
Kevin Warsh
$123,123 Vol.
16%
Kevin Warsh
$123,123 Vol.
16%
Christopher Waller
$209,392 Vol.
14%
Christopher Waller
$209,392 Vol.
14%
Rick Rieder
$90,896 Vol.
13%
Rick Rieder
$90,896 Vol.
13%
Scott Bessent
$140,568 Vol.
6%
Scott Bessent
$140,568 Vol.
6%
Stephen Miran
$140,876 Vol.
4%
Stephen Miran
$140,876 Vol.
4%
Michelle Bowman
$56,408 Vol.
3%
Michelle Bowman
$56,408 Vol.
3%
No one nominated before 2027
$200,447 Vol.
2%
No one nominated before 2027
$200,447 Vol.
2%
James Bullard
$343,892 Vol.
1%
James Bullard
$343,892 Vol.
1%
Lorie K. Logan
$162,203 Vol.
1%
Lorie K. Logan
$162,203 Vol.
1%
Philip Jefferson
$1,266,864 Vol.
<1%
Philip Jefferson
$1,266,864 Vol.
<1%
Judy Shelton
$712,601 Vol.
<1%
Judy Shelton
$712,601 Vol.
<1%
Jerome Powell
$91,398 Vol.
<1%
Jerome Powell
$91,398 Vol.
<1%
David Malpass
$113,950 Vol.
<1%
David Malpass
$113,950 Vol.
<1%
Howard Lutnick
$95,850 Vol.
<1%
Howard Lutnick
$95,850 Vol.
<1%
Arthur Laffer
$182,025 Vol.
<1%
Arthur Laffer
$182,025 Vol.
<1%
Larry Kudlow
$157,962 Vol.
<1%
Larry Kudlow
$157,962 Vol.
<1%
Marc Sumerlin
$768,631 Vol.
<1%
Marc Sumerlin
$768,631 Vol.
<1%
David Zervos
$52,519 Vol.
<1%
David Zervos
$52,519 Vol.
<1%
Janet Yellen
$196,848 Vol.
<1%
Janet Yellen
$196,848 Vol.
<1%
Larry Lindsey
$615,842 Vol.
<1%
Larry Lindsey
$615,842 Vol.
<1%
Bill Pulte
$706,056 Vol.
<1%
Bill Pulte
$706,056 Vol.
<1%
Ron Paul
$152,369 Vol.
<1%
Ron Paul
$152,369 Vol.
<1%
Rules
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,712,930
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...$6,712,930 Vol.
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Hassett 45%
Kevin Warsh 16%
Christopher Waller 14%
Rick Rieder 12.5%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Kevin Hassett
$127,216 Vol.
45%
Kevin Warsh
$123,123 Vol.
16%
Christopher Waller
$209,392 Vol.
14%
Rick Rieder
$90,896 Vol.
13%
Scott Bessent
$140,568 Vol.
6%
Stephen Miran
$140,876 Vol.
4%
Michelle Bowman
$56,408 Vol.
3%
No one nominated before 2027
$200,447 Vol.
2%
James Bullard
$343,892 Vol.
1%
Lorie K. Logan
$162,203 Vol.
1%
Philip Jefferson
$1,266,864 Vol.
<1%
Judy Shelton
$712,601 Vol.
<1%
Jerome Powell
$91,398 Vol.
<1%
David Malpass
$113,950 Vol.
<1%
Howard Lutnick
$95,850 Vol.
<1%
Arthur Laffer
$182,025 Vol.
<1%
Larry Kudlow
$157,962 Vol.
<1%
Marc Sumerlin
$768,631 Vol.
<1%
David Zervos
$52,519 Vol.
<1%
Janet Yellen
$196,848 Vol.
<1%
Larry Lindsey
$615,842 Vol.
<1%
Bill Pulte
$706,056 Vol.
<1%
Ron Paul
$152,369 Vol.
<1%
About
Volume
$6,712,930
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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