Which cities will have a white Christmas?
$8,073 Vol.
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Chicago
$247 Vol.
28%
Chicago
$247 Vol.
28%
New York City
$1,582 Vol.
22%
New York City
$1,582 Vol.
22%
Philadelphia
$95 Vol.
19%
Philadelphia
$95 Vol.
19%
Boston
$590 Vol.
16%
Boston
$590 Vol.
16%
Detroit
$1,036 Vol.
15%
Detroit
$1,036 Vol.
15%
Washington D.C.
$246 Vol.
14%
Washington D.C.
$246 Vol.
14%
Seattle
$98 Vol.
11%
Seattle
$98 Vol.
11%
St. Louis
$2,648 Vol.
6%
St. Louis
$2,648 Vol.
6%
Dallas
$1,030 Vol.
1%
Dallas
$1,030 Vol.
1%
Miami
$500 Vol.
1%
Miami
$500 Vol.
1%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the National Weather Service records a snowfall observed value of at least .5 inches for the listed city on December 25, 2025.
The relevant National Weather Service locations for this market will be Central Park NY (New York City), Chicago O’Hare (Chicago), St. Louis, MO (St. Louis), Philadelphia, PA (Philadelphia), Detroit, MI (Detroit), Boston-Logan Airport (Boston), Dallas/Fort Worth, TX (Dallas), Miami, FL (Miami), Downtown San Francisco (San Francisco), Seattle-Tacoma, WA (Seattle), and Washington-National (Washington D.C.).
The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service, specifically the figure for "SNOWFALL (IN)" when "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" is selected under "Observed Weather" after navigating to the relevant city & location from https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate.
The relevant National Weather Service locations for this market will be Central Park NY (New York City), Chicago O’Hare (Chicago), St. Louis, MO (St. Louis), Philadelphia, PA (Philadelphia), Detroit, MI (Detroit), Boston-Logan Airport (Boston), Dallas/Fort Worth, TX (Dallas), Miami, FL (Miami), Downtown San Francisco (San Francisco), Seattle-Tacoma, WA (Seattle), and Washington-National (Washington D.C.).
The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service, specifically the figure for "SNOWFALL (IN)" when "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" is selected under "Observed Weather" after navigating to the relevant city & location from https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate.
Created At: Nov 21, 2025, 3:58 PM UTC
Volume
$8,073End Date
Dec 25, 2025Created At
Nov 21, 2025, 3:58 PM UTCResolver
0x65070BE91...$8,073 Vol.
Which cities will have a white Christmas?
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Chicago
$247 Vol.
28%
New York City
$1,582 Vol.
22%
Philadelphia
$95 Vol.
19%
Boston
$590 Vol.
16%
Detroit
$1,036 Vol.
15%
Washington D.C.
$246 Vol.
14%
Seattle
$98 Vol.
11%
St. Louis
$2,648 Vol.
6%
Dallas
$1,030 Vol.
1%
Miami
$500 Vol.
1%
About
Volume
$8,073End Date
Dec 25, 2025Created At
Nov 21, 2025, 3:58 PM UTCResolver
0x65070BE91...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.



Beware of external links.
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