What will Powell say during Framework Review speech on May 15?
$50,596 Vol.
Inflation 40+ times
$10,207 Vol.
No
Inflation 40+ times
$10,207 Vol.
No
Inflation 50+ times
$2,714 Vol.
No
Inflation 50+ times
$2,714 Vol.
No
Tariff 15+ times
$3,041 Vol.
No
Tariff 15+ times
$3,041 Vol.
No
Unemployment 15+ times
$1,034 Vol.
No
Unemployment 15+ times
$1,034 Vol.
No
COVID 3+
$1,681 Vol.
No
COVID 3+
$1,681 Vol.
No
Downbeat
$549 Vol.
No
Downbeat
$549 Vol.
No
Slowdown
$331 Vol.
No
Slowdown
$331 Vol.
No
Recession
$11,400 Vol.
Yes
Recession
$11,400 Vol.
Yes
Immigration
$560 Vol.
No
Immigration
$560 Vol.
No
Median
$541 Vol.
No
Median
$541 Vol.
No
Forward Guidance
$4,202 Vol.
No
Forward Guidance
$4,202 Vol.
No
Energy
$998 Vol.
No
Energy
$998 Vol.
No
Beige Book
$305 Vol.
No
Beige Book
$305 Vol.
No
Depression
$4,907 Vol.
Yes
Depression
$4,907 Vol.
Yes
Climate
$82 Vol.
No
Climate
$82 Vol.
No
China
$4,008 Vol.
No
China
$4,008 Vol.
No
QE / Quantitative Easing
$438 Vol.
No
QE / Quantitative Easing
$438 Vol.
No
Crypto / Bitcoin
$2,738 Vol.
No
Crypto / Bitcoin
$2,738 Vol.
No
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$861 Vol.
No
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$861 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during his scheduled Framework Review speech. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Powell's Framework Review speech scheduled for May 15, 2025, 8:40 AM ET (https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/calendar.htm). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such speech happens by May 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the speech.
Created At: May 12, 2025, 7:03 PM UTC
Resolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$50,596 Vol.
What will Powell say during Framework Review speech on May 15?
Inflation 40+ times
No
Inflation 50+ times
No
Tariff 15+ times
No
Unemployment 15+ times
No
COVID 3+
No
Downbeat
No
Slowdown
No
Recession
Yes
Immigration
No
Median
No
Forward Guidance
No
Energy
No
Beige Book
No
Depression
Yes
Climate
No
China
No
QE / Quantitative Easing
No
Crypto / Bitcoin
No
AI / Artificial Intelligence
No
About
Resolver
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