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icon for Waterloo, ON Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Canada

Waterloo, ON Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Waterloo, ON Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Canada

Waterloo, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Dorothy McCabe 66%

Shannon Weber 24.4%

Jeyas Balaskanthan 1.3%

Jamie Hari <1%

Polymarket

$15,450 Vol.

Dorothy McCabe 66%

Shannon Weber 24.4%

Jeyas Balaskanthan 1.3%

Jamie Hari <1%

Polymarket

$15,450 Vol.

icon for Dorothy McCabe

Dorothy McCabe

$4,161 Vol.

72%

icon for Shannon Weber

Shannon Weber

$10,496 Vol.

24%

icon for Jeyas Balaskanthan

Jeyas Balaskanthan

$228 Vol.

1%

icon for Jamie Hari

Jamie Hari

$276 Vol.

1%

icon for Jerry Jiang

Jerry Jiang

$289 Vol.

1%

The 2026 Waterloo, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Waterloo, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Waterloo, Ontario.Dorothy McCabe, the incumbent mayor seeking a second term, holds the strongest position in the October 26, 2026 Waterloo municipal election due to her established name recognition, early May 2026 re-election announcement, and focus on housing affordability, local economic growth, and city services. Shannon Weber, who filed in mid-August, represents the main challenger but trails significantly in implied market probabilities. The remaining candidates—including Jeyas Balaskanthan, Jamie Hari, and Jerry Jiang, who entered on the final nomination day of August 21—have minimal visibility and correspondingly low odds. With no recent polling shifts, major controversies, or late developments reported in the past month, trader consensus reflects the typical advantage for an incumbent in a low-profile Canadian municipal race just weeks before voting.

The 2026 Waterloo, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Waterloo, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Waterloo, Ontario.The 2026 Waterloo, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Waterloo, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Waterloo, Ontario.
Volume
$15,450
End Date
Oct 27, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 2:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Waterloo, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Waterloo, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Waterloo, Ontario.Dorothy McCabe, the incumbent mayor seeking a second term, holds the strongest position in the October 26, 2026 Waterloo municipal election due to her established name recognition, early May 2026 re-election announcement, and focus on housing affordability, local economic growth, and city services. Shannon Weber, who filed in mid-August, represents the main challenger but trails significantly in implied market probabilities. The remaining candidates—including Jeyas Balaskanthan, Jamie Hari, and Jerry Jiang, who entered on the final nomination day of August 21—have minimal visibility and correspondingly low odds. With no recent polling shifts, major controversies, or late developments reported in the past month, trader consensus reflects the typical advantage for an incumbent in a low-profile Canadian municipal race just weeks before voting.

The 2026 Waterloo, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Waterloo, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Waterloo, Ontario.The 2026 Waterloo, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Waterloo, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Waterloo, Ontario.
Volume
$15,450
End Date
Oct 27, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 2:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Waterloo, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dorothy McCabe" at 72%, followed by "Shannon Weber" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Waterloo, ON Mayoral Election Winner" has generated $15.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Waterloo, ON Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Waterloo, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is "Dorothy McCabe" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Shannon Weber" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Waterloo, ON Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.