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UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

Market icon

UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

>50% 100.0%

45-50% 100.0%

40-45% 100%

30-35% 100.0%

Polymarket

$113,169 Vol.

>50% 100.0%

45-50% 100.0%

40-45% 100%

30-35% 100.0%

Polymarket

$113,169 Vol.

Market icon

>50%

$26,477 Vol.

No

Market icon

45-50%

$10,974 Vol.

No

Market icon

40-45%

$13,284 Vol.

No

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35-40%

$16,269 Vol.

No

Market icon

30-35%

$31,262 Vol.

Yes

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<30%

$14,903 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins more than 50% of votes in the UK General Election scheduled for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins between 45% (inclusive) and 50% (inclusive) of votes in the UK General Election scheduled for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins between 40% (inclusive) and 45% (exclusive) of votes in the UK General Election scheduled for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins between 35% (inclusive) and 40% (exclusive) of votes in the UK General Election scheduled for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins between 30% (inclusive) and 35% (exclusive) of votes in the UK General Election scheduled for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins less than 30% of votes in the UK General Election scheduled for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins more than 50% of votes in the UK General Election scheduled for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$113,169
End Date
Jul 4, 2024
Market Opened
May 23, 2024, 11:54 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins more than 50% of votes in the UK General Election scheduled for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins more than 50% of votes in the UK General Election scheduled for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins between 45% (inclusive) and 50% (inclusive) of votes in the UK General Election scheduled for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins between 40% (inclusive) and 45% (exclusive) of votes in the UK General Election scheduled for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins between 35% (inclusive) and 40% (exclusive) of votes in the UK General Election scheduled for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins between 30% (inclusive) and 35% (exclusive) of votes in the UK General Election scheduled for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins less than 30% of votes in the UK General Election scheduled for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins more than 50% of votes in the UK General Election scheduled for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$113,169
End Date
Jul 4, 2024
Market Opened
May 23, 2024, 11:54 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins more than 50% of votes in the UK General Election scheduled for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"UK Election: Labour % of the vote?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30-35%" at 100%, followed by ">50%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UK Election: Labour % of the vote?" has generated $113.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 23, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UK Election: Labour % of the vote?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UK Election: Labour % of the vote?" is "30-35%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is ">50%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UK Election: Labour % of the vote?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.