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UFC 286

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UFC 286

$10,882 Vol.

Mar 17, 2023
Polymarket

$10,882 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Edwards vs. Usman

$10,347 Vol.

Edwards

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Gaethje vs. Fiziev

$268 Vol.

Gaethje

Market icon

Nelson vs. Barberena

$265 Vol.

Nelson

Market icon

Maia vs. O'Neill

$0 Vol.

Maia

Market icon

Vettori vs. Dolidze

$0 Vol.

Vettori

Market icon

Will Kamaru Usman win by finish?

$2 Vol.

No

UFC 286 is an upcoming mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that is scheduled to take place on March 18, 2023, at the O2 Arena in London, England, UK. This is a market on whether Leon Edwards or Kamaru Usman will win their bout. If Leon Edwards is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Edwards”. If Kamaru Usman is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Usman”. If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after April 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.UFC 286 is an upcoming mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that is scheduled to take place on March 18, 2023, at the O2 Arena in London, England, UK. This is a market on whether Justin Gaethje or Rafael Fiziev will win their bout. If Justin Gaethje is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Gaethje”. If Rafael Fiziev is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Fiziev”. If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after April 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.UFC 286 is an upcoming mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that is scheduled to take place on March 18, 2023, at the O2 Arena in London, England, UK. This is a market on whether Gunnar Nelson or Bryan Barberena will win their bout. If Gunnar Nelson is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Nelson”. If Bryan Barberena is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “ Barberena”. If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after April 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.UFC 286 is an upcoming mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that is scheduled to take place on March 18, 2023, at the O2 Arena in London, England, UK. This is a market on whether Jennifer Maia or Casey O'Neill will win their bout. If Jennifer Maia is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Maia”. If Casey O'Neill is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “O'Neill”. If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after April 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.UFC 286 is an upcoming mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that is scheduled to take place on March 18, 2023, at the O2 Arena in London, England, UK. This is a market on whether Marvin Vettori or Roman Dolidze will win their bout. If Marvin Vettori is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Vettori”. If Roman Dolidze is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Dolidze”. If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after April 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.UFC 286 is an upcoming mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that is scheduled to take place on March 18, 2023, at the O2 Arena in London, England, UK. This is a market on whether Kamaru Usman will win his upcoming bout with Leon Edwards by finish. To "win by finish" means winning by KO/TKO/disqualification, submission, or any other form of stoppage. Any decision made by the judges will not count as a finish. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamaru Usman wins his UFC 286 bout with Leon Edwards by finish. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after April 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.

UFC 286 is an upcoming mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that is scheduled to take place on March 18, 2023, at the O2 Arena in London, England, UK.

This is a market on whether Leon Edwards or Kamaru Usman will win their bout.

If Leon Edwards is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Edwards”. If Kamaru Usman is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Usman”.

If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after April 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.
Volume
$10,882
End Date
Mar 18, 2023
Market Opened
Mar 15, 2023, 8:00 PM ET
UFC 286 is an upcoming mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that is scheduled to take place on March 18, 2023, at the O2 Arena in London, England, UK. This is a market on whether Leon Edwards or Kamaru Usman will win their bout. If Leon Edwards is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Edwards”. If Kamaru Usman is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Usman”. If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after April 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.

Outcome proposed: Edwards

No dispute

Final outcome: Edwards

UFC 286 is an upcoming mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that is scheduled to take place on March 18, 2023, at the O2 Arena in London, England, UK. This is a market on whether Leon Edwards or Kamaru Usman will win their bout. If Leon Edwards is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Edwards”. If Kamaru Usman is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Usman”. If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after April 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.UFC 286 is an upcoming mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that is scheduled to take place on March 18, 2023, at the O2 Arena in London, England, UK. This is a market on whether Justin Gaethje or Rafael Fiziev will win their bout. If Justin Gaethje is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Gaethje”. If Rafael Fiziev is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Fiziev”. If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after April 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.UFC 286 is an upcoming mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that is scheduled to take place on March 18, 2023, at the O2 Arena in London, England, UK. This is a market on whether Gunnar Nelson or Bryan Barberena will win their bout. If Gunnar Nelson is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Nelson”. If Bryan Barberena is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “ Barberena”. If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after April 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.UFC 286 is an upcoming mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that is scheduled to take place on March 18, 2023, at the O2 Arena in London, England, UK. This is a market on whether Jennifer Maia or Casey O'Neill will win their bout. If Jennifer Maia is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Maia”. If Casey O'Neill is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “O'Neill”. If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after April 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.UFC 286 is an upcoming mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that is scheduled to take place on March 18, 2023, at the O2 Arena in London, England, UK. This is a market on whether Marvin Vettori or Roman Dolidze will win their bout. If Marvin Vettori is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Vettori”. If Roman Dolidze is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Dolidze”. If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after April 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.UFC 286 is an upcoming mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that is scheduled to take place on March 18, 2023, at the O2 Arena in London, England, UK. This is a market on whether Kamaru Usman will win his upcoming bout with Leon Edwards by finish. To "win by finish" means winning by KO/TKO/disqualification, submission, or any other form of stoppage. Any decision made by the judges will not count as a finish. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamaru Usman wins his UFC 286 bout with Leon Edwards by finish. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after April 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.

UFC 286 is an upcoming mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that is scheduled to take place on March 18, 2023, at the O2 Arena in London, England, UK.

This is a market on whether Leon Edwards or Kamaru Usman will win their bout.

If Leon Edwards is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Edwards”. If Kamaru Usman is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Usman”.

If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after April 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.
Volume
$10,882
End Date
Mar 18, 2023
Market Opened
Mar 15, 2023, 8:00 PM ET
UFC 286 is an upcoming mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that is scheduled to take place on March 18, 2023, at the O2 Arena in London, England, UK. This is a market on whether Leon Edwards or Kamaru Usman will win their bout. If Leon Edwards is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Edwards”. If Kamaru Usman is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Usman”. If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after April 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.

Outcome proposed: Edwards

No dispute

Final outcome: Edwards

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Frequently Asked Questions

"UFC 286" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Edwards vs. Usman" at 100%, followed by "Gaethje vs. Fiziev" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UFC 286" has generated $10.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 16, 2023. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UFC 286," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UFC 286" is "Edwards vs. Usman" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gaethje vs. Fiziev" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UFC 286" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.