Tesla shares closed June 18 at $400.49 amid ongoing volatility, with the week-of-June-22 settlement market pricing roughly even odds across $380–$425+ buckets. Recent regulatory scrutiny over Full Self-Driving safety data, including U.S. Senate inquiries and European reviews, offsets positive signals such as Goldman Sachs noting Q2 deliveries tracking above consensus and Cathie Wood’s $22 million purchase. Macro factors including Treasury yields, broader equity sentiment, and potential policy shifts add to uncertainty, while analyst targets cluster near $409 and historical weekly moves around the $400 level remain wide. Traders appear to weigh these near-term catalysts against the absence of immediate earnings or major product launches before Friday’s close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<$380 100.0%
$380-$385 <1%
$385-$390 <1%
$390-$395 <1%
$3,036 Vol.
$3,036 Vol.
Jun 26, 2026
<$380
Yes
$380-$385
No
$385-$390
No
$390-$395
No
$395-$400
No
$400-$405
No
$405-$410
No
$410-$415
No
$415-$420
No
$420-$425
No
>$425
No
<$380 100.0%
$380-$385 <1%
$385-$390 <1%
$390-$395 <1%
$3,036 Vol.
$3,036 Vol.
Jun 26, 2026
<$380
$520 Vol.
Yes
$380-$385
$197 Vol.
No
$385-$390
$314 Vol.
No
$390-$395
$270 Vol.
No
$395-$400
$312 Vol.
No
$400-$405
$215 Vol.
No
$405-$410
$180 Vol.
No
$410-$415
$350 Vol.
No
$415-$420
$171 Vol.
No
$420-$425
$271 Vol.
No
>$425
$237 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla shares closed June 18 at $400.49 amid ongoing volatility, with the week-of-June-22 settlement market pricing roughly even odds across $380–$425+ buckets. Recent regulatory scrutiny over Full Self-Driving safety data, including U.S. Senate inquiries and European reviews, offsets positive signals such as Goldman Sachs noting Q2 deliveries tracking above consensus and Cathie Wood’s $22 million purchase. Macro factors including Treasury yields, broader equity sentiment, and potential policy shifts add to uncertainty, while analyst targets cluster near $409 and historical weekly moves around the $400 level remain wide. Traders appear to weigh these near-term catalysts against the absence of immediate earnings or major product launches before Friday’s close.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Jun 19, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Volume
$3,036End Date
Jun 26, 2026Market Opened
Jun 19, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla shares closed June 18 at $400.49 amid ongoing volatility, with the week-of-June-22 settlement market pricing roughly even odds across $380–$425+ buckets. Recent regulatory scrutiny over Full Self-Driving safety data, including U.S. Senate inquiries and European reviews, offsets positive signals such as Goldman Sachs noting Q2 deliveries tracking above consensus and Cathie Wood’s $22 million purchase. Macro factors including Treasury yields, broader equity sentiment, and potential policy shifts add to uncertainty, while analyst targets cluster near $409 and historical weekly moves around the $400 level remain wide. Traders appear to weigh these near-term catalysts against the absence of immediate earnings or major product launches before Friday’s close.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$3,036End Date
Jun 26, 2026Market Opened
Jun 19, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Tesla shares closed June 18 at $400.49 amid ongoing volatility, with the week-of-June-22 settlement market pricing roughly even odds across $380–$425+ buckets. Recent regulatory scrutiny over Full Self-Driving safety data, including U.S. Senate inquiries and European reviews, offsets positive signals such as Goldman Sachs noting Q2 deliveries tracking above consensus and Cathie Wood’s $22 million purchase. Macro factors including Treasury yields, broader equity sentiment, and potential policy shifts add to uncertainty, while analyst targets cluster near $409 and historical weekly moves around the $400 level remain wide. Traders appear to weigh these near-term catalysts against the absence of immediate earnings or major product launches before Friday’s close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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