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icon for Trump vs. Biden: Staircase Olympics

Trump vs. Biden: Staircase Olympics

icon for Trump vs. Biden: Staircase Olympics

Trump vs. Biden: Staircase Olympics

Trump

<1% chance
Polymarket

$34,943 Vol.

Trump

<1% chance
Polymarket

$34,943 Vol.

This market is on whether Joe Biden or Donald Trump will walk up the stairs to board a plane faster, based on the next made video recording of each boarding a plane after July 25, 12:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Trump" if Donald Trump is observed walking up the stairs to board a plane faster than Joe Biden, and "Biden" if Joe Biden completes this action faster than Trump. The time it takes them to ascend the airplane stairs will be measured from when they make contact with the first step, to when they reach the top of the stairs with both feet down. This market is based on the next recorded instance of each boarding a plane and will resolve once there is video of both Joe Biden and Donald Trump performing this action. If no relevant video of both Trump and Biden is released by September 30, 11:59 PM ET, it will resolve 50-50. The resolution source will be video of each of them boarding a plane.

This market is on whether Joe Biden or Donald Trump will walk up the stairs to board a plane faster, based on the next made video recording of each boarding a plane after July 25, 12:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Trump" if Donald Trump is observed walking up the stairs to board a plane faster than Joe Biden, and "Biden" if Joe Biden completes this action faster than Trump.

The time it takes them to ascend the airplane stairs will be measured from when they make contact with the first step, to when they reach the top of the stairs with both feet down.

This market is based on the next recorded instance of each boarding a plane and will resolve once there is video of both Joe Biden and Donald Trump performing this action.

If no relevant video of both Trump and Biden is released by September 30, 11:59 PM ET, it will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source will be video of each of them boarding a plane.

Volume
$34,943
End Date
Sep 30, 2024
Market Opened
Jul 25, 2024, 12:46 PM ET
This market is on whether Joe Biden or Donald Trump will walk up the stairs to board a plane faster, based on the next made video recording of each boarding a plane after July 25, 12:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Trump" if Donald Trump is observed walking up the stairs to board a plane faster than Joe Biden, and "Biden" if Joe Biden completes this action faster than Trump. The time it takes them to ascend the airplane stairs will be measured from when they make contact with the first step, to when they reach the top of the stairs with both feet down. This market is based on the next recorded instance of each boarding a plane and will resolve once there is video of both Joe Biden and Donald Trump performing this action. If no relevant video of both Trump and Biden is released by September 30, 11:59 PM ET, it will resolve 50-50. The resolution source will be video of each of them boarding a plane.

Outcome proposed: Biden

No dispute

Final outcome: Biden

This market is on whether Joe Biden or Donald Trump will walk up the stairs to board a plane faster, based on the next made video recording of each boarding a plane after July 25, 12:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Trump" if Donald Trump is observed walking up the stairs to board a plane faster than Joe Biden, and "Biden" if Joe Biden completes this action faster than Trump. The time it takes them to ascend the airplane stairs will be measured from when they make contact with the first step, to when they reach the top of the stairs with both feet down. This market is based on the next recorded instance of each boarding a plane and will resolve once there is video of both Joe Biden and Donald Trump performing this action. If no relevant video of both Trump and Biden is released by September 30, 11:59 PM ET, it will resolve 50-50. The resolution source will be video of each of them boarding a plane.

This market is on whether Joe Biden or Donald Trump will walk up the stairs to board a plane faster, based on the next made video recording of each boarding a plane after July 25, 12:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Trump" if Donald Trump is observed walking up the stairs to board a plane faster than Joe Biden, and "Biden" if Joe Biden completes this action faster than Trump.

The time it takes them to ascend the airplane stairs will be measured from when they make contact with the first step, to when they reach the top of the stairs with both feet down.

This market is based on the next recorded instance of each boarding a plane and will resolve once there is video of both Joe Biden and Donald Trump performing this action.

If no relevant video of both Trump and Biden is released by September 30, 11:59 PM ET, it will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source will be video of each of them boarding a plane.

Volume
$34,943
End Date
Sep 30, 2024
Market Opened
Jul 25, 2024, 12:46 PM ET
This market is on whether Joe Biden or Donald Trump will walk up the stairs to board a plane faster, based on the next made video recording of each boarding a plane after July 25, 12:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Trump" if Donald Trump is observed walking up the stairs to board a plane faster than Joe Biden, and "Biden" if Joe Biden completes this action faster than Trump. The time it takes them to ascend the airplane stairs will be measured from when they make contact with the first step, to when they reach the top of the stairs with both feet down. This market is based on the next recorded instance of each boarding a plane and will resolve once there is video of both Joe Biden and Donald Trump performing this action. If no relevant video of both Trump and Biden is released by September 30, 11:59 PM ET, it will resolve 50-50. The resolution source will be video of each of them boarding a plane.

Outcome proposed: Biden

No dispute

Final outcome: Biden

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump vs. Biden: Staircase Olympics" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Trump vs. Biden: Staircase Olympics" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump vs. Biden: Staircase Olympics" has generated $34.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 25, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump vs. Biden: Staircase Olympics," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Trump vs. Biden: Staircase Olympics" is "Trump vs. Biden: Staircase Olympics" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Trump vs. Biden: Staircase Olympics" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.