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Trump tariffs Apple before July?

Market icon

Trump tariffs Apple before July?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$56,479 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$56,479 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a specific tariff on any products produced by Apple by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only tariffs specifically targeting Apple products will qualify. For example, a general tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.), country-specific tariff (tariffs on all imports from a specific country, e.g., Canada or China), or sector-specific tariffs (tariffs on all imports of electronics using chips manufactured in Taiwan) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Tariffs on Apple products from a specific country will qualify.

Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volume
$56,479
End Date
Jun 30, 2025
Created At
May 23, 2025, 11:48 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a specific tariff on any products produced by Apple by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only tariffs specifically targeting Apple products will qualify. For example, a general tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.), country-specific tariff (tariffs on all imports from a specific country, e.g., Canada or China), or sector-specific tariffs (tariffs on all imports of electronics using chips manufactured in Taiwan) will not count toward this market's resolution. Tariffs on Apple products from a specific country will qualify. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a specific tariff on any products produced by Apple by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only tariffs specifically targeting Apple products will qualify. For example, a general tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.), country-specific tariff (tariffs on all imports from a specific country, e.g., Canada or China), or sector-specific tariffs (tariffs on all imports of electronics using chips manufactured in Taiwan) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Tariffs on Apple products from a specific country will qualify.

Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volume
$56,479
End Date
Jun 30, 2025
Created At
May 23, 2025, 11:48 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a specific tariff on any products produced by Apple by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only tariffs specifically targeting Apple products will qualify. For example, a general tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.), country-specific tariff (tariffs on all imports from a specific country, e.g., Canada or China), or sector-specific tariffs (tariffs on all imports of electronics using chips manufactured in Taiwan) will not count toward this market's resolution. Tariffs on Apple products from a specific country will qualify. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump tariffs Apple before July?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump tariffs Apple before July?" has generated $56.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump tariffs Apple before July?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Trump tariffs Apple before July?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Trump tariffs Apple before July?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.