Scottie Scheffler's status as world No. 1 and two-time Masters champion (2022, 2024) with flawless top-20 finishes at Augusta National drives his trader consensus lead at 13.5%, bolstered by a season win at the American Express and consistent ball-striking despite a T22 at The Players Championship. Yet the field remains tightly bunched through the top tier, as Jon Rahm's strong LIV Golf form, Bryson DeChambeau's recent victories and bomber's edge on firm, fast conditions, defending champion Rory McIlroy's major pedigree, and Xander Schauffele's well-rounded game all present realistic paths to the green jacket. Collin Morikawa's ongoing back spasms raise doubts on his 2.1% implied probability, while mild weather and practice round buzz heighten the competitive parity among 90-plus contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 14%
Jon Rahm 7.7%
Rory McIlroy 7%
Bryson Dechambeau 7%
$72,346,855 Vol.
$72,346,855 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
14%
Jon Rahm
8%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Bryson Dechambeau
7%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Min Woo Lee
3%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Russell Henley
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Akshay Bhatia
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
J. J. Spaun
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Si Woo Kim
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
Jason Day
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Harris English
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Sungjae Im
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Cameron Smith
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Max Homa
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Harry Hall
<1%
Wyndham Clark
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Alexander Noren
<1%
Gary Woodland
<1%
Marco Penge
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Sung-Jae Im
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Casey Jarvis
<1%
Johnny Keefer
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Nicolas Echavarria
<1%
Matt McCarty
<1%
Tom McKibbin
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Hao-Tong Li
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Ramsus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Davis Riley
<1%
Brian Campbell
<1%
Ethan Fang
<1%
Pongsapak Laopakdee
<1%
Naoyuki Kataoka
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 14%
Jon Rahm 7.7%
Rory McIlroy 7%
Bryson Dechambeau 7%
$72,346,855 Vol.
$72,346,855 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
14%
Jon Rahm
8%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Bryson Dechambeau
7%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Min Woo Lee
3%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Russell Henley
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Akshay Bhatia
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
J. J. Spaun
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Si Woo Kim
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
Jason Day
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Harris English
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Sungjae Im
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Cameron Smith
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Max Homa
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Harry Hall
<1%
Wyndham Clark
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Alexander Noren
<1%
Gary Woodland
<1%
Marco Penge
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Sung-Jae Im
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Casey Jarvis
<1%
Johnny Keefer
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Nicolas Echavarria
<1%
Matt McCarty
<1%
Tom McKibbin
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Hao-Tong Li
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Ramsus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Davis Riley
<1%
Brian Campbell
<1%
Ethan Fang
<1%
Pongsapak Laopakdee
<1%
Naoyuki Kataoka
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's status as world No. 1 and two-time Masters champion (2022, 2024) with flawless top-20 finishes at Augusta National drives his trader consensus lead at 13.5%, bolstered by a season win at the American Express and consistent ball-striking despite a T22 at The Players Championship. Yet the field remains tightly bunched through the top tier, as Jon Rahm's strong LIV Golf form, Bryson DeChambeau's recent victories and bomber's edge on firm, fast conditions, defending champion Rory McIlroy's major pedigree, and Xander Schauffele's well-rounded game all present realistic paths to the green jacket. Collin Morikawa's ongoing back spasms raise doubts on his 2.1% implied probability, while mild weather and practice round buzz heighten the competitive parity among 90-plus contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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