Scottie Scheffler's commanding FedExCup lead, solidified by his runner-up finish at the 2026 Cadillac Championship behind winner Cameron Young, positions him as trader consensus favorite at 21.5% implied probability for the PGA TOUR Championship, granting the largest starting strokes advantage at East Lake Golf Club. Yet probabilities remain tightly bunched with Hideki Matsuyama (17.5%), Rory McIlroy (16.5%), and surging challengers Chris Gotterup, Robert MacIntyre, Si Woo Kim, Nicolai Højgaard, Sepp Straka, and Ryan Gerard all near 15%, reflecting their recent top finishes, strong ball-striking stats, and course history amid the top-30 field's parity. Golf's 72-hole volatility, demanding irons and putting on East Lake's reformed layout, plus pending playoff events, sustain competitive dynamics with no outcome exceeding 25%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRory McIlroy 23%
Scottie Scheffler 16%
Xander Schauffele 8%
Collin Morikawa 8%
Rory McIlroy
18%
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Xander Schauffele
8%
Collin Morikawa
8%
Russell Henley
8%
Sam Burns
8%
Cameron Young
7%
Ludvig Åberg
6%
Tommy Fleetwood
6%
Nico Echavarria
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
5%
Justin Rose
4%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Jacob Bridgeman
2%
J.J. Spaun
2%
Gary Woodland
2%
Chris Gotterup
16%
Nicolai Højgaard
15%
Adam Scott
1%
Ryo Hisatsune
1%
Daniel Berger
1%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
18%
Sepp Straka
15%
Ryan Gerard
15%
Jake Knapp
1%
Robert MacIntyre
16%
Si Woo Kim
15%
Sahith Theegala
7%
Rory McIlroy 23%
Scottie Scheffler 16%
Xander Schauffele 8%
Collin Morikawa 8%
Rory McIlroy
18%
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Xander Schauffele
8%
Collin Morikawa
8%
Russell Henley
8%
Sam Burns
8%
Cameron Young
7%
Ludvig Åberg
6%
Tommy Fleetwood
6%
Nico Echavarria
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
5%
Justin Rose
4%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Jacob Bridgeman
2%
J.J. Spaun
2%
Gary Woodland
2%
Chris Gotterup
16%
Nicolai Højgaard
15%
Adam Scott
1%
Ryo Hisatsune
1%
Daniel Berger
1%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
18%
Sepp Straka
15%
Ryan Gerard
15%
Jake Knapp
1%
Robert MacIntyre
16%
Si Woo Kim
15%
Sahith Theegala
7%
If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Scottie Scheffler's commanding FedExCup lead, solidified by his runner-up finish at the 2026 Cadillac Championship behind winner Cameron Young, positions him as trader consensus favorite at 21.5% implied probability for the PGA TOUR Championship, granting the largest starting strokes advantage at East Lake Golf Club. Yet probabilities remain tightly bunched with Hideki Matsuyama (17.5%), Rory McIlroy (16.5%), and surging challengers Chris Gotterup, Robert MacIntyre, Si Woo Kim, Nicolai Højgaard, Sepp Straka, and Ryan Gerard all near 15%, reflecting their recent top finishes, strong ball-striking stats, and course history amid the top-30 field's parity. Golf's 72-hole volatility, demanding irons and putting on East Lake's reformed layout, plus pending playoff events, sustain competitive dynamics with no outcome exceeding 25%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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