Name: Steam Awards: Most Innovative Gameplay
Start: 2024-12-19T23:49:19.512581Z
End: 2024-12-31T12:00:00Z

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This is a negrisk market group over which game will win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2024 Steam Awards.

The winners of the Steam Award for 2024 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on December 31, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Balatro' wins Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2024 Steam Awards. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Balatro

The winners of the Steam Award for 2024 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on December 31, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Stalker 2: Heart of Chernobyl' wins Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2024 Steam Awards. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Stalker 2: Heart of Chernobyl

The winners of the Steam Award for 2024 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on December 31, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Helldivers 2' wins Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2024 Steam Awards. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Helldivers 2

The winners of the Steam Award for 2024 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on December 31, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Liar's Bar' wins Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2024 Steam Awards. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Liar's Bar

The winners of the Steam Award for 2024 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on December 31, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Satisfactory' wins Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2024 Steam Awards. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Satisfactory

Steam Awards: Most Innovative Gameplay

The winners of the Steam Award for 2025 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on December 31, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the game which wins Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards.

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

The winners of the Steam Awards for 2025 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on January 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the game which wins Best Game on Steam Deck in the 2025 Steam Awards.

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Best Game on Steam Deck at the 2025 Steam Awards?

The winners of the Steam Awards for 2025 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on January 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the game which wins Outstanding Story-Rich Game in the 2025 Steam Awards.

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Outstanding Story-Rich Game in the 2025 Steam Awards?

The winners of the Steam Awards for 2025 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on January 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the game which wins VR Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards.

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will F1® 25 win VR Game of the Year at the 2025 Steam Awards?

The winners of the Steam Awards for 2025 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on January 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the game which wins Best Game You Suck At in the 2025 Steam Awards.

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Best Game You Suck At in the 2025 Steam Awards?

The winners of the Steam Awards for 2025 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on January 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the game which wins Better With Friends in the 2025 Steam Awards.

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will ARC Raiders win Better With Friends at the 2025 Steam Awards?

The winners of the Steam Awards for 2025 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on January 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the game which wins Labor of Love in the 2025 Steam Awards.

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will No Man's Sky win Labor of Love at the 2025 Steam Awards?

The winners of the Steam Awards for 2025 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on January 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the game which wins Sit Back and Relax in the 2025 Steam Awards.

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Bongo Cat win Sit Back and Relax in the 2025 Steam Awards?

The winners of the Steam Awards for 2025 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on January 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the game which wins Outstanding Visual Style in the 2025 Steam Awards.

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Outstanding Visual Style at the 2025 Steam Awards?

The winners of the Steam Awards for 2025 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on January 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the game which wins Best Soundtrack in the 2025 Steam Awards.

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Soundtrack in the 2025 Steam Awards?

The HLTV awards are scheduled to be held on January 10, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Player of the Year award. 

If for any reason no winner is declared by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Mathieu "ZywOo" Herbaut win the HLTV Player of the Year award?

The HLTV awards are scheduled to be held on January 10, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the Team of the Year award. 

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Vitality win the HLTV Team of the Year award?

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the Naismith College Player of the Year Award for the 2025-2026 Men’s NCAA division 1 basketball season.

If the listed player is not included as a semifinalist or finalist for the Naismith College Player of the Year Award, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no winner is announced by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from the Naismith Awards organizers (https://naismithtrophy.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2025-2026 Naismith Men's College Player of the Year Award?

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Most Improved Player.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Most Improved Player, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Jack Adams Award.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Jack Adams Award, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Jared Bednar win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?

This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public. 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.

New Half-Life game by June 30?

The Critics Choice Awards are presented annually by the American Critics Choice Association to honor achievements in film. For the Critics Choice Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced by December 5, 2025, followed by the ceremony on January 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Critics Choice Award for Best Original Screenplay. 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Awards and the American Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

This market will resolve according to the bracket containing the number of the contestant who is announced as the winner of Beast Games.

The winner is defined as the contestant who is announced as the winner. If multiple players are announced as the winner, this market will resolve according to the contestant who wins the most prize money in the final episode. If multiple players tie for most prize money this money will resolve according to the winning contestant whose listed number is highest. 

If no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. 

The primary resolution source will be the final episode of the Beast Games, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will a contestant numbered 176 - 200 win Beast Games: Season 2?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Public voting for StopAntisemitism’s 2025 Antisemite of the Year award runs through December 12, 2025 (see: https://stopantisemitism.org/asoty2025top10/)

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is named StopAntisemitism’s 2025 Antisemite of the Year.

If multiple people are named 2025 Antisemite of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of the person whose listed full name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no 2025 Antisemite of the Year has been declared by StopAntisemitism by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from StopAntisemitism (https://stopantisemitism.org/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Tucker Carlson be named StopAntisemitism's 2025 Antisemite of the Year?

The Critics Choice Awards are presented annually by the American Critics Choice Association to honor achievements in film. For the Critics Choice Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced by December 5, 2025, followed by the ceremony on January 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Critics Choice Award for Best Visual Effects. 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Awards and the American Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Vezina Trophy.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Vezina Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Jake Oettinger win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship, currently scheduled for October 13, 2025, to February 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

If the listed player is eliminated from the championship under the tournament's official rules, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Chess.com, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used in case of discrepancies.

If the winner is not announced by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends Champions Korea (LCK) 2026 season playoffs.

If the 2026 LCK season is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

The Critics Choice Awards are presented annually by the American Critics Choice Association to honor achievements in film. For the Critics Choice Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced by December 5, 2025, followed by the ceremony on January 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Critics Choice Award for Best Animated Feature. 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Awards and the American Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

The Critics Choice Awards are presented annually by the American Critics Choice Association to honor achievements in film. For the Critics Choice Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced by December 5, 2025, followed by the ceremony on January 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Critics Choice Award for Best Stunt Design. 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Awards and the American Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Mission Impossible: The Final Reckoning win Best Stunt Design at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

The Critics Choice Awards are presented annually by the American Critics Choice Association to honor achievements in film. For the Critics Choice Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced by December 5, 2025, followed by the ceremony on January 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Critics Choice Award for Best Score. 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Awards and the American Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will One Battle After Another win Best Score at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

The Critics Choice Awards are presented annually by the American Critics Choice Association to honor achievements in film. For the Critics Choice Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced by December 5, 2025, followed by the ceremony on January 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the Critics Choice Award for Best Picture. 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Awards and the American Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

This market will resolve to the company which owns the model that has the top LiveBench “coding average” score, as based off the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/), on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. 

If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

The Critics Choice Awards are presented annually by the American Critics Choice Association to honor achievements in film. For the Critics Choice Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced by December 5, 2025, followed by the ceremony on January 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Critics Choice Award for Best Sound. 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Awards and the American Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Frankenstein win Best Sound at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year, scheduled for December 17, 2025.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the BBC Sports Personality of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the BBC. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Rory McIlroy be named the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year?

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Clutch Player of the Year.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Clutch Player of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

The Critics Choice Awards are presented annually by the American Critics Choice Association to honor achievements in film. For the Critics Choice Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced by December 5, 2025, followed by the ceremony on January 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Critics Choice Award for Best Adapted Screenplay. 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Awards and the American Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that Half-Life 3 is in production by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "Half-Life 3" (e.g., Half-Life: Alyx, Half-Life 2: Episode One) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution. The game must have the words "Half-Life 3" in the title to qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 James Norris Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Cale Makar win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends Pro League (LPL) 2026 season.

If the 2026 LPL season is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LPL league organizers; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that Half-Life 3 is in production by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "Half-Life 3" (e.g., Half-Life: Alyx, Half-Life 2: Episode One) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution. The game must have the words "Half-Life 3" in the title to qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?

This is a polymarket on which player will be named the 2025–26 NFL Offensive Player of the Year. 

If the listed player is named the 2025-26 NFL Offensive Player of the Year, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award is not announced by May 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?

This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. 

If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Half-Life 3 or a differently titled game continuing the Half-Life series is officially released in the US by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source will be official information from Valve Corporation.

Half-Life 3 released in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Calder Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Matthew Schaefer win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?

The Critics Choice Awards are presented annually by the American Critics Choice Association to honor achievements in film. For the Critics Choice Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced by December 5, 2025, followed by the ceremony on January 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Critics Choice Award for Best Comedy. 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Awards and the American Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Steam Awards: Most Innovative Gameplay

Balatro
$104,859 Vol.
No

Stalker 2: Heart of Chernobyl
$2,887 Vol.
No

Helldivers 2
$4,984 Vol.
No

Liar's Bar
$82,962 Vol.
Yes

Satisfactory
$4,559 Vol.
No

Market Context

Steam Awards: Most Innovative Gameplay

Rules

Steam Awards: Most Innovative Gameplay

Market Context

Steam Awards: Most Innovative Gameplay

About

Related

Steam Awards: Most Innovative Gameplay

Balatro$104,859 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Stalker 2: Heart of Chernobyl$2,887 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Helldivers 2$4,984 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Liar's Bar$82,962 Vol.Yescircle check

Satisfactory$4,559 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

Steam Awards: Most Innovative Gameplay

Rules

Steam Awards: Most Innovative Gameplay

Market Context

Steam Awards: Most Innovative Gameplay

About

Related

Balatro
$104,859 Vol.
No

Stalker 2: Heart of Chernobyl
$2,887 Vol.
No

Helldivers 2
$4,984 Vol.
No

Liar's Bar
$82,962 Vol.
Yes

Satisfactory
$4,559 Vol.
No