Recent polling from late August and September 2026 shows Teresa Surita (MDB) leading the Roraima Senate race with 19-25% support, while Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) cluster closely behind in the 11-21% range, creating a competitive contest for the second seat in the two-vote, single-round system. With 13 registered candidates and persistently high undecided shares in earlier surveys, voter consolidation of second preferences remains fluid ahead of the October 4 election. Traders appear to view Nicoletti as the strongest contender for second place based on consistent positioning in first- and second-vote breakdowns, though small shifts in turnout among PL supporters or late movement among undecideds could elevate Helena da Asatur or Chico Rodrigues. The narrow gaps in recent Eficaz, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest data underscore the sensitivity of the second-place outcome to these dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNicoletti 44.8%
Teresa Surita 24%
Helena da Asatur 6.8%
Chico Rodrigues 5.2%
$68,671 Vol.
$68,671 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Nicoletti
45%
Teresa Surita
24%
Helena da Asatur
7%
Chico Rodrigues
5%
Helio Bolsonaro
5%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Nicoletti 44.8%
Teresa Surita 24%
Helena da Asatur 6.8%
Chico Rodrigues 5.2%
$68,671 Vol.
$68,671 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Nicoletti
$12,202 Vol.
45%
Teresa Surita
$21,897 Vol.
24%
Helena da Asatur
$4,859 Vol.
7%
Chico Rodrigues
$14,912 Vol.
5%
Helio Bolsonaro
$9,188 Vol.
5%
Mario Rocha
$834 Vol.
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$581 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$529 Vol.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$569 Vol.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$676 Vol.
<1%
Pastor Isamar
$952 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$887 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$583 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August and September 2026 shows Teresa Surita (MDB) leading the Roraima Senate race with 19-25% support, while Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) cluster closely behind in the 11-21% range, creating a competitive contest for the second seat in the two-vote, single-round system. With 13 registered candidates and persistently high undecided shares in earlier surveys, voter consolidation of second preferences remains fluid ahead of the October 4 election. Traders appear to view Nicoletti as the strongest contender for second place based on consistent positioning in first- and second-vote breakdowns, though small shifts in turnout among PL supporters or late movement among undecideds could elevate Helena da Asatur or Chico Rodrigues. The narrow gaps in recent Eficaz, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest data underscore the sensitivity of the second-place outcome to these dynamics.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Volume
$68,671End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August and September 2026 shows Teresa Surita (MDB) leading the Roraima Senate race with 19-25% support, while Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) cluster closely behind in the 11-21% range, creating a competitive contest for the second seat in the two-vote, single-round system. With 13 registered candidates and persistently high undecided shares in earlier surveys, voter consolidation of second preferences remains fluid ahead of the October 4 election. Traders appear to view Nicoletti as the strongest contender for second place based on consistent positioning in first- and second-vote breakdowns, though small shifts in turnout among PL supporters or late movement among undecideds could elevate Helena da Asatur or Chico Rodrigues. The narrow gaps in recent Eficaz, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest data underscore the sensitivity of the second-place outcome to these dynamics.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$68,671End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late August and September 2026 shows Teresa Surita (MDB) leading the Roraima Senate race with 19-25% support, while Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) cluster closely behind in the 11-21% range, creating a competitive contest for the second seat in the two-vote, single-round system. With 13 registered candidates and persistently high undecided shares in earlier surveys, voter consolidation of second preferences remains fluid ahead of the October 4 election. Traders appear to view Nicoletti as the strongest contender for second place based on consistent positioning in first- and second-vote breakdowns, though small shifts in turnout among PL supporters or late movement among undecideds could elevate Helena da Asatur or Chico Rodrigues. The narrow gaps in recent Eficaz, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest data underscore the sensitivity of the second-place outcome to these dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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