Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the clearest edge for first place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate contest, where voters select up to two candidates for the state’s two open seats. Recent surveys, including Eficaz (mid-September) and Real Time Big Data (early September), place her at 21.9–25% in combined first- and second-choice totals, ahead of Nicoletti (PL) at 17–20.8% and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 14.9–16%. Surita’s five prior terms as Boa Vista mayor and prior federal deputy service give her broad name recognition across the small electorate. Nicoletti and PL ally Hélio Bolsonaro trail in most head-to-head measures, while lower-polling names such as Chico Rodrigues and Pastor Isamar remain competitive for the second seat but show limited momentum toward the top spot. The market’s pricing reflects these polling gaps and the absence of major late-campaign shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTeresa Surita 61%
Nicoletti 25.3%
Helio Bolsonaro 7.1%
Chico Rodrigues 2.5%
$54,925 Vol.
$54,925 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
61%
Nicoletti
31%
Helio Bolsonaro
8%
Chico Rodrigues
3%
Helena da Asatur
1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Teresa Surita 61%
Nicoletti 25.3%
Helio Bolsonaro 7.1%
Chico Rodrigues 2.5%
$54,925 Vol.
$54,925 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
$23,054 Vol.
61%
Nicoletti
$11,847 Vol.
31%
Helio Bolsonaro
$9,652 Vol.
8%
Chico Rodrigues
$1,749 Vol.
3%
Helena da Asatur
$3,299 Vol.
1%
Bartô Macuxi
$457 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$616 Vol.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$687 Vol.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$794 Vol.
<1%
Mario Rocha
$702 Vol.
<1%
Pastor Isamar
$692 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$476 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$900 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the clearest edge for first place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate contest, where voters select up to two candidates for the state’s two open seats. Recent surveys, including Eficaz (mid-September) and Real Time Big Data (early September), place her at 21.9–25% in combined first- and second-choice totals, ahead of Nicoletti (PL) at 17–20.8% and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 14.9–16%. Surita’s five prior terms as Boa Vista mayor and prior federal deputy service give her broad name recognition across the small electorate. Nicoletti and PL ally Hélio Bolsonaro trail in most head-to-head measures, while lower-polling names such as Chico Rodrigues and Pastor Isamar remain competitive for the second seat but show limited momentum toward the top spot. The market’s pricing reflects these polling gaps and the absence of major late-campaign shifts.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volume
$54,925End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the clearest edge for first place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate contest, where voters select up to two candidates for the state’s two open seats. Recent surveys, including Eficaz (mid-September) and Real Time Big Data (early September), place her at 21.9–25% in combined first- and second-choice totals, ahead of Nicoletti (PL) at 17–20.8% and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 14.9–16%. Surita’s five prior terms as Boa Vista mayor and prior federal deputy service give her broad name recognition across the small electorate. Nicoletti and PL ally Hélio Bolsonaro trail in most head-to-head measures, while lower-polling names such as Chico Rodrigues and Pastor Isamar remain competitive for the second seat but show limited momentum toward the top spot. The market’s pricing reflects these polling gaps and the absence of major late-campaign shifts.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$54,925End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the clearest edge for first place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate contest, where voters select up to two candidates for the state’s two open seats. Recent surveys, including Eficaz (mid-September) and Real Time Big Data (early September), place her at 21.9–25% in combined first- and second-choice totals, ahead of Nicoletti (PL) at 17–20.8% and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 14.9–16%. Surita’s five prior terms as Boa Vista mayor and prior federal deputy service give her broad name recognition across the small electorate. Nicoletti and PL ally Hélio Bolsonaro trail in most head-to-head measures, while lower-polling names such as Chico Rodrigues and Pastor Isamar remain competitive for the second seat but show limited momentum toward the top spot. The market’s pricing reflects these polling gaps and the absence of major late-campaign shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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