Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the strongest position for first place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate race, where voters select up to two candidates for the state’s two seats. Recent polling from late August through mid-September consistently places her ahead with 19–30% support in stimulated scenarios, driven by her record as five-term mayor of Boa Vista and prior federal service, which provide broad name recognition in the small electorate. Nicoletti (PL) and Helena da Asatur (PSD) follow as the main contenders for the remaining spots, while Helio Bolsonaro (PL) and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) trail further behind. The election’s proximity and these polling patterns underpin the current trader consensus on leading probabilities, with limited late shifts reported in the fragmented field of 13 registered candidates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTeresa Surita 68%
Nicoletti 27.5%
Helio Bolsonaro 6.9%
Chico Rodrigues 2.7%
$55,130 Vol.
$55,130 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
68%
Nicoletti
28%
Helio Bolsonaro
7%
Chico Rodrigues
3%
Helena da Asatur
1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Teresa Surita 68%
Nicoletti 27.5%
Helio Bolsonaro 6.9%
Chico Rodrigues 2.7%
$55,130 Vol.
$55,130 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
$23,238 Vol.
68%
Nicoletti
$11,869 Vol.
28%
Helio Bolsonaro
$9,652 Vol.
7%
Chico Rodrigues
$1,749 Vol.
3%
Helena da Asatur
$3,299 Vol.
1%
Bartô Macuxi
$457 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$616 Vol.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$687 Vol.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$794 Vol.
<1%
Mario Rocha
$702 Vol.
<1%
Pastor Isamar
$692 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$476 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$900 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the strongest position for first place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate race, where voters select up to two candidates for the state’s two seats. Recent polling from late August through mid-September consistently places her ahead with 19–30% support in stimulated scenarios, driven by her record as five-term mayor of Boa Vista and prior federal service, which provide broad name recognition in the small electorate. Nicoletti (PL) and Helena da Asatur (PSD) follow as the main contenders for the remaining spots, while Helio Bolsonaro (PL) and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) trail further behind. The election’s proximity and these polling patterns underpin the current trader consensus on leading probabilities, with limited late shifts reported in the fragmented field of 13 registered candidates.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volume
$55,130End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the strongest position for first place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate race, where voters select up to two candidates for the state’s two seats. Recent polling from late August through mid-September consistently places her ahead with 19–30% support in stimulated scenarios, driven by her record as five-term mayor of Boa Vista and prior federal service, which provide broad name recognition in the small electorate. Nicoletti (PL) and Helena da Asatur (PSD) follow as the main contenders for the remaining spots, while Helio Bolsonaro (PL) and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) trail further behind. The election’s proximity and these polling patterns underpin the current trader consensus on leading probabilities, with limited late shifts reported in the fragmented field of 13 registered candidates.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$55,130End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the strongest position for first place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate race, where voters select up to two candidates for the state’s two seats. Recent polling from late August through mid-September consistently places her ahead with 19–30% support in stimulated scenarios, driven by her record as five-term mayor of Boa Vista and prior federal service, which provide broad name recognition in the small electorate. Nicoletti (PL) and Helena da Asatur (PSD) follow as the main contenders for the remaining spots, while Helio Bolsonaro (PL) and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) trail further behind. The election’s proximity and these polling patterns underpin the current trader consensus on leading probabilities, with limited late shifts reported in the fragmented field of 13 registered candidates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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