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Politics·Brazil

Roraima Governor Election Winner

icon for Roraima Governor Election Winner
Politics·Brazil

Roraima Governor Election Winner

Arthur Henrique 90%

Soldado Sampaio 4.5%

Farah Mesquita 3.7%

Rosi Aires 3.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Arthur Henrique 90%

Soldado Sampaio 4.5%

Farah Mesquita 3.7%

Rosi Aires 3.1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Arthur Henrique

Arthur Henrique

$2,927 Vol.

90%

icon for Soldado Sampaio

Soldado Sampaio

$183 Vol.

4%

icon for Farah Mesquita

Farah Mesquita

$153 Vol.

4%

icon for Rosi Aires

Rosi Aires

$222 Vol.

3%

icon for Clébio Genuíno

Clébio Genuíno

$281 Vol.

<1%

The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique holds a dominant position in the Roraima governor race, driven by his 60.87% victory in the June 2026 special election, where he secured an absolute majority and outperformed Soldado Sampaio. This outcome, combined with his Liberal Party (PL) backing and prior incumbency signals, shapes trader consensus ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote and possible runoff. A pending Supreme Court eligibility ruling tied to his candidacy filing timeline creates residual uncertainty, yet it has not shifted implied probabilities. Other contenders, including Soldado Sampaio, Farah Mesquita, and Rosi Aires, trail significantly with limited recent momentum in conventions or polling. Scheduled party alignments and voter turnout patterns in the northern state further reinforce the frontrunner dynamic reflected in current pricing.

The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$3,766
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique holds a dominant position in the Roraima governor race, driven by his 60.87% victory in the June 2026 special election, where he secured an absolute majority and outperformed Soldado Sampaio. This outcome, combined with his Liberal Party (PL) backing and prior incumbency signals, shapes trader consensus ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote and possible runoff. A pending Supreme Court eligibility ruling tied to his candidacy filing timeline creates residual uncertainty, yet it has not shifted implied probabilities. Other contenders, including Soldado Sampaio, Farah Mesquita, and Rosi Aires, trail significantly with limited recent momentum in conventions or polling. Scheduled party alignments and voter turnout patterns in the northern state further reinforce the frontrunner dynamic reflected in current pricing.

The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$3,766
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Roraima Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Arthur Henrique" at 90%, followed by "Soldado Sampaio" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Roraima Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Roraima Governor Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Roraima Governor Election Winner" is "Arthur Henrique" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Soldado Sampaio" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Roraima Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.