**Strong trader consensus on a sub-$70 million domestic opening for the new Zach Cregger-directed Resident Evil reboot stems directly from its confirmed $60 million three-day gross across 3,684 North American theaters.** The film, released September 18, 2026, by Sony Pictures, surpassed pre-release tracking of $40–50 million thanks to strong critical reception (95–96% on Rotten Tomatoes), positive audience scores, and Cregger’s horror momentum from films like *Weapons* and *Barbarian*. However, the result landed comfortably below the higher brackets, setting a new franchise record while remaining well short of $70 million. International markets added roughly $48 million for a $108 million global debut, but the market focuses on domestic figures. Realistic upset scenarios are limited at this stage; they would require a significant post-weekend revision to the reported totals (rare for major studio releases) or an unforeseen adjustment in how the market defines “opening weekend.” With actuals locked in and little historical precedent for large corrections, the market-implied odds reflect the final data rather than speculation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Brackets)
"Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Brackets)
<70m 100.0%
70-73m <1%
73-76m <1%
76-79m <1%
$7,608 Vol.
$7,608 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<70m
Yes
70-73m
No
73-76m
No
76-79m
No
79m+
No
<70m 100.0%
70-73m <1%
73-76m <1%
76-79m <1%
$7,608 Vol.
$7,608 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<70m
$3,011 Vol.
Yes
70-73m
$1,485 Vol.
No
73-76m
$1,274 Vol.
No
76-79m
$306 Vol.
No
79m+
$1,532 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to how much "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong trader consensus on a sub-$70 million domestic opening for the new Zach Cregger-directed Resident Evil reboot stems directly from its confirmed $60 million three-day gross across 3,684 North American theaters.**
The film, released September 18, 2026, by Sony Pictures, surpassed pre-release tracking of $40–50 million thanks to strong critical reception (95–96% on Rotten Tomatoes), positive audience scores, and Cregger’s horror momentum from films like *Weapons* and *Barbarian*. However, the result landed comfortably below the higher brackets, setting a new franchise record while remaining well short of $70 million. International markets added roughly $48 million for a $108 million global debut, but the market focuses on domestic figures.
Realistic upset scenarios are limited at this stage; they would require a significant post-weekend revision to the reported totals (rare for major studio releases) or an unforeseen adjustment in how the market defines “opening weekend.” With actuals locked in and little historical precedent for large corrections, the market-implied odds reflect the final data rather than speculation.
This market will resolve according to how much "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$7,608End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve according to how much "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong trader consensus on a sub-$70 million domestic opening for the new Zach Cregger-directed Resident Evil reboot stems directly from its confirmed $60 million three-day gross across 3,684 North American theaters.**
The film, released September 18, 2026, by Sony Pictures, surpassed pre-release tracking of $40–50 million thanks to strong critical reception (95–96% on Rotten Tomatoes), positive audience scores, and Cregger’s horror momentum from films like *Weapons* and *Barbarian*. However, the result landed comfortably below the higher brackets, setting a new franchise record while remaining well short of $70 million. International markets added roughly $48 million for a $108 million global debut, but the market focuses on domestic figures.
Realistic upset scenarios are limited at this stage; they would require a significant post-weekend revision to the reported totals (rare for major studio releases) or an unforeseen adjustment in how the market defines “opening weekend.” With actuals locked in and little historical precedent for large corrections, the market-implied odds reflect the final data rather than speculation.
This market will resolve according to how much "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$7,608End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
**Strong trader consensus on a sub-$70 million domestic opening for the new Zach Cregger-directed Resident Evil reboot stems directly from its confirmed $60 million three-day gross across 3,684 North American theaters.** The film, released September 18, 2026, by Sony Pictures, surpassed pre-release tracking of $40–50 million thanks to strong critical reception (95–96% on Rotten Tomatoes), positive audience scores, and Cregger’s horror momentum from films like *Weapons* and *Barbarian*. However, the result landed comfortably below the higher brackets, setting a new franchise record while remaining well short of $70 million. International markets added roughly $48 million for a $108 million global debut, but the market focuses on domestic figures. Realistic upset scenarios are limited at this stage; they would require a significant post-weekend revision to the reported totals (rare for major studio releases) or an unforeseen adjustment in how the market defines “opening weekend.” With actuals locked in and little historical precedent for large corrections, the market-implied odds reflect the final data rather than speculation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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