Multi-party competition in Quebec’s October 5 election, featuring tight polling among the Parti Québécois, Coalition Avenir Québec, and Liberals under new leadership and a revised electoral map, supports moderate voter engagement consistent with recent cycles. Roughly 325,000 newly eligible young voters and advance-polling options could lift participation, yet historical patterns of lower youth turnout and very low rates in Indigenous communities exert downward pressure. Recent concerns over French-only election mailings in western anglophone regions add localized uncertainty without shifting broader expectations. Trader consensus therefore clusters around 66-70 percent, with modest separation possible if campaign intensity rises through the remaining debates or if mobilization efforts prove more effective than in 2022.