**Trader consensus heavily favors a 7-9 million dollar second weekend for A24’s “Primetime,” with that range carrying 94% implied probability.** The film’s solid $19.2 million opening from roughly 2,860 theaters, driven by Robert Pattinson’s star power and strong Gen Z turnout (69% of opening-weekend audiences under 30), established clear momentum. Positive critical reception, including an 87% Rotten Tomatoes score and festival buzz from Venice, plus the project’s modest $14.5–15 million budget and efficient per-screen averages, have reinforced expectations of a respectable hold rather than a steep drop. Historical patterns for similar mid-budget A24 titles and the absence of major counter-programming shifts in early October further anchor the frontrunner outcome. Realistic upset scenarios include sharper-than-anticipated declines if word-of-mouth softens among core younger viewers or if competing releases siphon screens and attention, potentially pushing results into the 5-7 million band. Stronger-than-modeled legs from sustained streaming chatter or positive audience scores could instead lift the frame toward 9-11 million.