Recent August PPI data showed final demand prices rising 0.4% month-over-month and 5.4% year-over-year, exceeding forecasts amid a 1.1% surge in goods prices led by energy components up 4.2%. This reacceleration, tied to persistent wholesale cost pressures and geopolitical supply factors, has elevated trader-implied odds for the September YoY figure toward the 5.7–5.9%+ range. Core measures excluding food and energy held near 4.6–4.7%, while services contributed modestly through transportation gains. With the next release due October 15 and the Federal Reserve having hiked rates in September to address above-target inflation, market pricing reflects uncertainty over whether energy-driven momentum persists or moderates amid base effects and labor-market trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated5.9%+ 34%
5.7% 20%
5.8% 20%
5.6% 11%
$12,396 Vol.
$12,396 Vol.
≤5.0%
9%
5.1%
1%
5.2%
5%
5.3%
10%
5.4%
6%
5.5%
6%
5.6%
11%
5.7%
20%
5.8%
20%
5.9%+
34%
5.9%+ 34%
5.7% 20%
5.8% 20%
5.6% 11%
$12,396 Vol.
$12,396 Vol.
≤5.0%
9%
5.1%
1%
5.2%
5%
5.3%
10%
5.4%
6%
5.5%
6%
5.6%
11%
5.7%
20%
5.8%
20%
5.9%+
34%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on October 15, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on October 15, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolution Source
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August PPI data showed final demand prices rising 0.4% month-over-month and 5.4% year-over-year, exceeding forecasts amid a 1.1% surge in goods prices led by energy components up 4.2%. This reacceleration, tied to persistent wholesale cost pressures and geopolitical supply factors, has elevated trader-implied odds for the September YoY figure toward the 5.7–5.9%+ range. Core measures excluding food and energy held near 4.6–4.7%, while services contributed modestly through transportation gains. With the next release due October 15 and the Federal Reserve having hiked rates in September to address above-target inflation, market pricing reflects uncertainty over whether energy-driven momentum persists or moderates amid base effects and labor-market trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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