Palantir shares closed at $179.94 on August 21 after surging on Q2 results that showed 93% revenue growth to $1.94 billion, a 149% jump in U.S. commercial revenue, record total contract value, and sharply raised full-year 2026 guidance to $8.15 billion. Strong AI sovereignty demand and expanding government commercial momentum have sustained the rally, though the stock now trades at elevated valuations near 42 times forward revenue. With the week of August 24 resolution approaching amid ongoing volatility, the tightly clustered 47.5–48% probabilities across most price bins reflect trader consensus on continued momentum tempered by uncertainty over short-term consolidation or profit-taking.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$170-$172 48%
$172-$174 48%
$178-$180 48%
$184-$186 48%
<$170
48%
$170-$172
48%
$172-$174
48%
$174-$176
48%
$176-$178
7%
$178-$180
48%
$180-$182
48%
$182-$184
48%
$184-$186
48%
$186-$188
48%
>$188
47%
$170-$172 48%
$172-$174 48%
$178-$180 48%
$184-$186 48%
<$170
48%
$170-$172
48%
$172-$174
48%
$174-$176
48%
$176-$178
7%
$178-$180
48%
$180-$182
48%
$182-$184
48%
$184-$186
48%
$186-$188
48%
>$188
47%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Palantir shares closed at $179.94 on August 21 after surging on Q2 results that showed 93% revenue growth to $1.94 billion, a 149% jump in U.S. commercial revenue, record total contract value, and sharply raised full-year 2026 guidance to $8.15 billion. Strong AI sovereignty demand and expanding government commercial momentum have sustained the rally, though the stock now trades at elevated valuations near 42 times forward revenue. With the week of August 24 resolution approaching amid ongoing volatility, the tightly clustered 47.5–48% probabilities across most price bins reflect trader consensus on continued momentum tempered by uncertainty over short-term consolidation or profit-taking.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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