Palantir’s Q2 2026 results, featuring 93% year-over-year revenue growth to $1.935 billion and a raised full-year outlook of $8.15–8.16 billion, continue to anchor trader sentiment for the week-of-August-17 close. U.S. commercial revenue surged 149%, underscoring AI-platform demand and lifting shares from sub-$130 levels in early August toward the mid-$170s. The evenly distributed probabilities across $172–178 bins reflect offsetting forces: elevated valuation multiples near 149 times trailing earnings, recent director share sales, and profit-taking after the post-earnings rally versus analyst consensus targets averaging roughly $192. Near-term resolution hinges on sustained trading volume and any incremental AI-adoption signals before the weekly close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$172-$174 27%
$174-$176 19%
$176-$178 16%
$178-$180 13%
<$164
10%
$164-$166
6%
$166-$168
11%
$168-$170
10%
$170-$172
23%
$172-$174
27%
$174-$176
19%
$176-$178
16%
$178-$180
13%
$180-$182
9%
>$182
11%
$172-$174 27%
$174-$176 19%
$176-$178 16%
$178-$180 13%
<$164
10%
$164-$166
6%
$166-$168
11%
$168-$170
10%
$170-$172
23%
$172-$174
27%
$174-$176
19%
$176-$178
16%
$178-$180
13%
$180-$182
9%
>$182
11%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 16, 2026, 7:11 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Palantir’s Q2 2026 results, featuring 93% year-over-year revenue growth to $1.935 billion and a raised full-year outlook of $8.15–8.16 billion, continue to anchor trader sentiment for the week-of-August-17 close. U.S. commercial revenue surged 149%, underscoring AI-platform demand and lifting shares from sub-$130 levels in early August toward the mid-$170s. The evenly distributed probabilities across $172–178 bins reflect offsetting forces: elevated valuation multiples near 149 times trailing earnings, recent director share sales, and profit-taking after the post-earnings rally versus analyst consensus targets averaging roughly $192. Near-term resolution hinges on sustained trading volume and any incremental AI-adoption signals before the weekly close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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