OpenAI's Codex usage limits, which combine rolling five-hour windows and weekly caps across ChatGPT plans, drive trader focus on reset frequency amid heavy demand for its AI coding features. Engineering lead Thibault Sottiaux has announced multiple global resets in September 2026 tied to milestones like the GPT-6 Astra rollout and user growth, including a full reset on September 12 that refreshed limits for paid users. These actions follow earlier adjustments, such as restoring the five-hour cap in late August after a temporary lift during capacity strain, alongside bug fixes for background compute tracking. Banked resets and credit purchases offer flexibility for Plus, Pro, and Business subscribers, while competitive pressure from rival coding tools and new model releases like Astra shapes OpenAI's compute management. Upcoming catalysts include further product launches or capacity updates that could prompt additional resets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$6,795 Vol.
September 14
Yes
September 21
Yes
September 28
Yes
October 5
Yes
$6,795 Vol.
September 14
Yes
September 21
Yes
September 28
Yes
October 5
Yes
A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify.
Only qualifying resets announced or initiated after the creation of this market will be considered.
An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will qualify if published within the market's timeframe, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 2:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify.
Only qualifying resets announced or initiated after the creation of this market will be considered.
An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will qualify if published within the market's timeframe, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
OpenAI's Codex usage limits, which combine rolling five-hour windows and weekly caps across ChatGPT plans, drive trader focus on reset frequency amid heavy demand for its AI coding features. Engineering lead Thibault Sottiaux has announced multiple global resets in September 2026 tied to milestones like the GPT-6 Astra rollout and user growth, including a full reset on September 12 that refreshed limits for paid users. These actions follow earlier adjustments, such as restoring the five-hour cap in late August after a temporary lift during capacity strain, alongside bug fixes for background compute tracking. Banked resets and credit purchases offer flexibility for Plus, Pro, and Business subscribers, while competitive pressure from rival coding tools and new model releases like Astra shapes OpenAI's compute management. Upcoming catalysts include further product launches or capacity updates that could prompt additional resets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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