OpenAI’s Codex usage limits for ChatGPT Plus, Pro, and Business users are shaped by rolling five-hour and weekly caps that reset based on first request after any refresh, with banked resets applied manually via announcements from engineering lead Thibault Sottiaux. The most recent catalyst was the September 22, 2026 rollout of GPT-6 Sol and Luna models, which included a banked reset for paid accounts alongside 50% token price cuts to improve accessibility for agentic coding workflows. These resets often coincide with model launches, compute-load smoothing, or fixes for background agent overconsumption, as seen in prior global wipes tied to bug reports or user-growth milestones. Competitive pressure from rival coding assistants and internal token-usage data—where Codex dominates OpenAI’s output—encourage periodic generosity, while upcoming model deprecations like GPT-5.5 in October and potential regulatory scrutiny on AI compute allocation could influence future timing. Traders monitor @thsottiaux announcements closely, as they directly shift implied probabilities around the next reset window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Sep 23, 2026
September 23
24%
September 24
15%
September 25
15%
September 26
15%
September 27
15%
September 28
15%
September 29
15%
September 30
17%
$90 Vol.
September 23
$90 Vol.
24%
September 24
$0 Vol.
15%
September 25
$0 Vol.
15%
September 26
$0 Vol.
15%
September 27
$0 Vol.
15%
September 28
$0 Vol.
15%
September 29
$0 Vol.
15%
September 30
$0 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limits on the specified date, by 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify.
Only qualifying resets announced or initiated after the creation of this market will be considered.
An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will qualify if published on the specified date, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s Codex usage limits for ChatGPT Plus, Pro, and Business users are shaped by rolling five-hour and weekly caps that reset based on first request after any refresh, with banked resets applied manually via announcements from engineering lead Thibault Sottiaux. The most recent catalyst was the September 22, 2026 rollout of GPT-6 Sol and Luna models, which included a banked reset for paid accounts alongside 50% token price cuts to improve accessibility for agentic coding workflows. These resets often coincide with model launches, compute-load smoothing, or fixes for background agent overconsumption, as seen in prior global wipes tied to bug reports or user-growth milestones. Competitive pressure from rival coding assistants and internal token-usage data—where Codex dominates OpenAI’s output—encourage periodic generosity, while upcoming model deprecations like GPT-5.5 in October and potential regulatory scrutiny on AI compute allocation could influence future timing. Traders monitor @thsottiaux announcements closely, as they directly shift implied probabilities around the next reset window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limits on the specified date, by 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify.
Only qualifying resets announced or initiated after the creation of this market will be considered.
An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will qualify if published on the specified date, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify.
Only qualifying resets announced or initiated after the creation of this market will be considered.
An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will qualify if published on the specified date, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$90End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limits on the specified date, by 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify.
Only qualifying resets announced or initiated after the creation of this market will be considered.
An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will qualify if published on the specified date, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s Codex usage limits for ChatGPT Plus, Pro, and Business users are shaped by rolling five-hour and weekly caps that reset based on first request after any refresh, with banked resets applied manually via announcements from engineering lead Thibault Sottiaux. The most recent catalyst was the September 22, 2026 rollout of GPT-6 Sol and Luna models, which included a banked reset for paid accounts alongside 50% token price cuts to improve accessibility for agentic coding workflows. These resets often coincide with model launches, compute-load smoothing, or fixes for background agent overconsumption, as seen in prior global wipes tied to bug reports or user-growth milestones. Competitive pressure from rival coding assistants and internal token-usage data—where Codex dominates OpenAI’s output—encourage periodic generosity, while upcoming model deprecations like GPT-5.5 in October and potential regulatory scrutiny on AI compute allocation could influence future timing. Traders monitor @thsottiaux announcements closely, as they directly shift implied probabilities around the next reset window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limits on the specified date, by 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify.
Only qualifying resets announced or initiated after the creation of this market will be considered.
An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will qualify if published on the specified date, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify.
Only qualifying resets announced or initiated after the creation of this market will be considered.
An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will qualify if published on the specified date, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$90End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s Codex usage limits for ChatGPT Plus, Pro, and Business users are shaped by rolling five-hour and weekly caps that reset based on first request after any refresh, with banked resets applied manually via announcements from engineering lead Thibault Sottiaux. The most recent catalyst was the September 22, 2026 rollout of GPT-6 Sol and Luna models, which included a banked reset for paid accounts alongside 50% token price cuts to improve accessibility for agentic coding workflows. These resets often coincide with model launches, compute-load smoothing, or fixes for background agent overconsumption, as seen in prior global wipes tied to bug reports or user-growth milestones. Competitive pressure from rival coding assistants and internal token-usage data—where Codex dominates OpenAI’s output—encourage periodic generosity, while upcoming model deprecations like GPT-5.5 in October and potential regulatory scrutiny on AI compute allocation could influence future timing. Traders monitor @thsottiaux announcements closely, as they directly shift implied probabilities around the next reset window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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