Trader consensus heavily favors "Onslaught" opening under $2 million domestically, driven by its soft pre-release tracking around $2.5 million and the film’s mixed reception upon its September 4 wide release. A24’s action-horror title, directed by Adam Wingard and starring Adria Arjona, earned a 56% on Rotten Tomatoes and a C CinemaScore, with critics noting stylish gore but thin substance. Playing in roughly 1,918 theaters, it posted a modest $982 per-theater average and has shown little momentum from word-of-mouth or social buzz. Comparable low-profile genre releases on holiday weekends have followed similar paths when reviews fail to ignite interest. An upset into the $2–3 million range would require substantially stronger audience engagement or a late surge in platform metrics that has yet to materialize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office
<2m 98.4%
2-3m 1.1%
3-4m <1%
4-5m <1%
$33,819 Vol.
$33,819 Vol.
<2m
98%
2-3m
1%
3-4m
<1%
4-5m
<1%
5-6m
<1%
6m+
<1%
<2m 98.4%
2-3m 1.1%
3-4m <1%
4-5m <1%
$33,819 Vol.
$33,819 Vol.
<2m
98%
2-3m
1%
3-4m
<1%
4-5m
<1%
5-6m
<1%
6m+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors "Onslaught" opening under $2 million domestically, driven by its soft pre-release tracking around $2.5 million and the film’s mixed reception upon its September 4 wide release. A24’s action-horror title, directed by Adam Wingard and starring Adria Arjona, earned a 56% on Rotten Tomatoes and a C CinemaScore, with critics noting stylish gore but thin substance. Playing in roughly 1,918 theaters, it posted a modest $982 per-theater average and has shown little momentum from word-of-mouth or social buzz. Comparable low-profile genre releases on holiday weekends have followed similar paths when reviews fail to ignite interest. An upset into the $2–3 million range would require substantially stronger audience engagement or a late surge in platform metrics that has yet to materialize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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